1、 Price trend
According to the monitoring data of the business association, as of May 31, the average price of the market quotation of organosilicon DMC in the mainstream areas of the data monitoring was around 15533 yuan / ton, which increased by 200 yuan / ton or 1% compared with that on May 1; compared with that before the labor day (April 26), the average price increased by 900 yuan / ton or 6.15%. The maximum amplitude of DMC was 6.15% from April 26 to May 31.
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2、 Market analysis
Affected by the May Day holiday, downstream users actively entered the market to replenish goods before the festival, the market demand increased, the transaction atmosphere was good, the manufacturer shipped smoothly, most of the monomer factories increased the DMC factory price, the increase range was 200-500 yuan / ton. Until May 6, the market reference average price of organosilicon DMC had risen to 15330 yuan / ton. After the festival, the market demand weakened, the price rise was restrained, the manufacturer’s shipment was blocked, and the inventory gradually accumulated. Under the inventory pressure of some manufacturers, they were forced to reduce the factory price by 300-800 yuan / ton. On July 7, according to the data monitoring of business agency, the average ex factory price of organosilicon DMC was around 14833 yuan / ton, the low-end price of some factories dropped to around 14200 yuan / ton, and the rare high-end price was around 15400 yuan / ton. In the following days, the market continued to decline until the 19th, as the price fell to a relatively low level, the downstream bargain hunting entered the market, the market transaction atmosphere improved, the manufacturer’s early inventory was basically digested, and the big single plant was eager to increase, through reducing the operating rate and other active regulation of the low price market, the price rose on the 20th, some manufacturers increased the ex factory quotation, and the range of adjustment was 100 -300 yuan / ton, followed by a week of stable operation. On the 29th, most monomer manufacturers raised the factory price of DMC again, with a large increase range. The average price rose to 15533 yuan / ton, the average price was adjusted around 500 yuan / ton, the rare low-end factory price was 15200 yuan / ton, and some high-end offers rose to 16000 yuan / ton.
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It is understood that the following are the factory prices of major enterprises in the near future and the commencement of the plant (for reference only)
Name of enterprise date price (yuan / ton including tax) commencement of equipment
Normal operation of 15300 yuan / ton unit of Luxi Chemical on May 27
Zhejiang Xin’an Chemical Co., Ltd. normal operation of 15700 yuan / ton unit on May 29
Zhejiang Hesheng group normal operation of 15300 yuan / ton unit on May 27
Inner Mongolia hengyecheng has a maintenance plan of 15500 yuan / ton on May 27, June
Shandong Jinling group has a parking plan of 16000 yuan / ton on May 27 and June
Hubei Xingfa group May 27 – three sets of devices are in operation
Tangshan Sanyou Chemical Co., Ltd. has maintenance plan from May 27 to June
Shandong Dongyue Group has a parking plan from May 29 to June
Upstream metal silicon Market: the overall trend of upstream metal silicon in May was stable and slightly increased, which brought a certain positive support to the market of silicone DMC. In May, the price of silicon metal 441 was relatively stable, but there was still a dynamic stalemate between supply and demand. Supply side: silicon companies started less than expected, their inventory is lower than expected, and silicon companies are willing to hold up prices. Many start-up enterprises adopt the pre-sale mode to lock the production capacity in advance. Sales end: in May, the export market was weak, with a small amount of rigid procurement as the main demand; the downstream demand in the domestic market was relatively warmer, because of the doubt about the terminal demand and the short expectation of raw materials, the procurement of raw materials was cautious, mainly on demand, and the inventory of raw materials was low. 441 metal The price range of silicon is 11100-11200 yuan / ton.
3、 Future forecast
Analysts of business club think that the rise at the end of May has brought a great deal of color to the DMC market in the whole may, and also laid a good start for the trend of the follow-up market. It is expected that the market of organosilicon DMC will continue to rise steadily in June.
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