I. Trend of Rare Earth Market
As of September 27, the price of Pr-Nd oxides fell by 1.55% and 1.55% over the same period. The domestic reference price of dysprosium-iron alloys dropped by 1.32% and 59.06% over the same period. The domestic reference price of Pr-Nd oxides dropped by 1.21% over the same period. The mainstream price of praseodymium oxide is 382500 yuan/ton, and the price trend is stable, down 6.71% year on year; the mainstream price of dysprosium oxide is 1865000 yuan/ton, down 1.32%, up 63.32% year on year; the price of neodymium oxide is 31900 yuan/ton, down 1.54%, up 0.95% year on year; the price of neodymium metal is 407500 yuan/ton, down 1.21% year on year. Ping; Metal praseodymium ex-factory quotation is 695,000 yuan/ton, price trend is temporarily stable, up 5.30% year-on-year; Metal dysprosium ex-factory mainstream quotation is 2325,000 yuan/ton, price trend is stable, up 43.08% year-on-year.
II. Rare Earth Price Index
On September 27, the rare earth index was 375 points, down 1 point from yesterday, down 62.50% from the cyclical peak of 1000 points (2011-12-06), and up 38.38% from the lowest point of 271 on September 13, 2015. (Note: Period refers to 2011-12-01 to date).
III. Market Analysis
Recent price declines in rare earth market, domestic rare earth market trading market is general, dysprosium and terbium metal and oxide prices fall, recent field inquiries for neodymium oxide and neodymium oxide have decreased, the price of light rare earth oxide slightly declined, recent market light rare earth merchants are poor, recent on-site turnover is general. The supply of rare earth is normal in China. The price fluctuation of rare earth market is related to the national environmental protection supervision. Rare earth production has its particularity, especially the radiation hazards of some products, which make the environmental protection supervision stricter. Metal enterprises and downstream magnetic materials enterprises are still weak in buying after the holiday because of the surplus of pre-holiday purchasing, and the price of rare earth has declined compared with the earlier period. They are in a strong wait-and-see mood. Under strict environmental protection inspection, rare earth separating enterprises in many provinces have stopped production, resulting in a general market of rare earth oxides, especially some mainstream rare earth oxides, which are in normal supply, and the price trend of rare earth market is temporarily stable in the near future. Large enterprise groups in the field are reluctant to sell. The rare earth market is generally on the market, and the turnover has not changed much.
Recently, the State Environmental Protection Department has been making strict investigations. Strengthening the supervision of the rare earth industry in Jiangxi Province has a great impact on the rare earth industry. The start-up of the rare earth industry is relatively low and the market is cold, which has brought some favorable support to the rare earth market. Recently, the State Council inspection team went to Jiangxi rare earth enterprises to inspect. This inspection closely centered on the major deployment of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, highlighted the key and difficult issues in the field of economic operation and reform and development, and focused on the strong blockades and pain points reflected by the people and the market subjects, so as to promote the implementation of various tasks from point to point. In addition, the Development and Reform Commission and the relevant departments should take effective measures to improve the management mechanism, strengthen the industrial restructuring and standardization, speed up the construction of a rational industrial structure, advanced scientific and technological level, effective protection of resources, orderly production and operation of the industry development pattern, effectively play the special value of rare earth as a strategic resource, and shrink the supply of raw mineral resources in the upstream of the rare earth industry. Domestic stakeholders are waiting for good news from the policy and the reserve.
IV. Future Prospects
Rare earth analysts of business associations expect that the domestic environmental protection inspection will not decrease in the near future. In addition, the domestic order of the rare earth industry will be rectified, and the supply of the rare earth industry in Jiangxi will be kept at a low level. However, the demand of the lower reaches of rare earth has not improved in the near future. It is expected that some prices of the rare earth market will remain at a low level.