According to the price monitoring of the business agency, since August, the domestic raw silk market as a whole has shown a shock rise. As of August 25, the average price of raw silk market was 282550 yuan / ton, up 2.75% compared with the beginning of the month. As of August 25, the average market price was 89200 yuan / ton, down 1.44% from the beginning of the month. At present, the price of dried cocoon is 93000 yuan / ton in Jiaxing of Zhejiang Province, 285000 yuan / ton of raw silk, 85400 yuan / ton of dried cocoon and 280100 yuan / ton of raw silk in Guangxi.
The autumn cocoons in Guangxi silkworm region are about to be fully listed. The first batch of autumn cocoons in Xincheng, Guangxi, have entered the peak period of listing. It was learned from some local cocoon stations on August 24 that the local autumn cocoons have gradually increased in the past two days. At present, the average purchase price of fresh cocoons is about 30 yuan / kg, which is higher than the purchase price at the initial stage of listing. Autumn cocoons in Xuzhou District, Yibin City, Sichuan Province, have been put on the market with the purchase price of about 30-32 yuan / kg.
This year, affected by the uncertainty of cocoon and silk market, the aging of sericulture farmers and the reduction of mulberry garden area, the number of silkworm orders in Jiangsu and Zhejiang decreased. The mid autumn silkworm eggs will be released from August 20 to 21 in Jiaxing, Zhejiang Province. Jiaxing City has ordered 11746.75 mid autumn silkworm eggs, with a year-on-year decrease of 3164.25 or 21.2%. Among them, Tongxiang City, a key silkworm District, has ordered 9475.5 mid autumn silkworm eggs, with a year-on-year decrease of 2924.5, a decrease of 23.6%; Xiuzhou District has ordered 217.25 pieces of mid autumn silkworm eggs, with a year-on-year decrease of 77.75 pieces, a decrease of 26.3%; Haining City has ordered a mid autumn festival silkworm eggs There were 1690 silkworm eggs, with an increase of 180 or 11.9% over the same period of last year, which was the only increase unit in Jiaxing Sericulture Area. The mid autumn silkworm eggs in Tongzhou District, Nantong City, Jiangsu Province, were put out of the warehouse on August 25. After incubation, the silkworm eggs will be distributed to the small silkworm co breeding room on September 3, one day later than last year. 826 silkworm eggs have been ordered for the Mid Autumn Festival, with a decrease of 74 or 8.2% over the same period of last year.
From the perspective of downstream fabrics, “gold nine silver ten” is coming soon. The downstream demand of China Light and textile city will increase slightly, and the batch trial orders of fabrics in early winter will increase slightly. The enthusiasm of North and South merchants for subscription will rise slightly, and the marketing trend will increase slightly. The marketing will be weak day by day, and the overall market transaction will show a small upward trend. Therefore, it also drives the production enthusiasm of manufacturers. If the future market continues to improve, then the market inventory will slow down, but it is expected that the “quality” will certainly not be compared with the previous years.
From the industry point of view, the consumption capacity and willingness of textile and clothing have declined. According to the data of the National Bureau of statistics, in July 2020, the total retail sales of consumer goods in China totaled 322.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.1%, 0.7 percentage points narrower than that of the previous month. From January to July, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 20445.9 billion yuan, down 9.9% year on year. In terms of textile and clothing retail, the total retail sales of national textile and clothing reached 88.9 billion yuan in July, a decrease of 2.5% compared with the same period last year. From January to July, China’s total retail sales of textile and clothing exceeded 595.9 billion yuan, down 17.5% year-on-year.
In terms of export, according to the latest statistics of the General Administration of Customs of China, in July 2020, China’s textile and clothing export volume was 31.294 billion US dollars, a month on month increase of 7.79%. Among them, the export volume of textiles (including textile yarn, fabrics and products) was 15.976.9 billion US dollars, down 1.11% month on month; the export volume of clothing (including clothing and clothing accessories) was 15.3175 billion US dollars, an increase of 18.97% on a month on month basis. From January to July, China’s textile and clothing exports amounted to 156.482 billion US dollars, an increase of 5.57% over the same period of last year, of which the cumulative export of textiles was US $90.080.4 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 31.25%; and that of clothing was 66.402 billion US dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 16.58%.
Xia Ting, an analyst at the business agency, believes that at the end of the seasonal off-season in China, the demand for cocoon silk has rebounded. However, the recovery and long-term development of the domestic economy are facing unprecedented challenges. Residents’ consumption capacity and willingness to consume textile and clothing have declined significantly, and the recovery speed is slow. The profit of domestic textile industry is further compressed, and it is still in the stage of price reduction and inventory removal, and the seasonal recovery is not obvious, so the support for cocoon and silk price is relatively limited. However, with the listing of autumn cocoons in Guangxi, the cost of raw materials may form a certain support for the silk price. It is expected that in the short term, the price of cocoon and silk will show a trend of concussion and warmer.