1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of the business association, the average ex factory price of domestic grade 52 chlorinated paraffin on February 1 was 4933 yuan / ton, and that of domestic grade 52 chlorinated paraffin on February 29 was 4933 yuan / ton, which was stable in February. Up to now, the commodity index of chlorinated paraffin on March 4 is 73.45, which is the same as yesterday, 32.88% lower than the highest point of 109.43 (2013-12-03), and 15.04% higher than the lowest point of 63.85 on September 26, 2016. (Note: cycle refers to 2012-06-01 to now)

2、 Market analysis

Product: low level of chlorinated paraffin at present. At present, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in South China is 4600-5400 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in North China is 4600-5400 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in East China is 5300 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Central China is 4700-5500 yuan / ton, and the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northeast China is 4700-5400 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of grade I chlorinated paraffin 52 in Shandong Province is about 4800-5500 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of grade I chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northwest China is about 4800-5500 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: the market trend of raw material liquid wax is stable, downstream enterprises purchase on demand, and the market atmosphere is weak. The liquid chlorine market has picked up slightly, the transportation has started to recover gradually, and the price has risen slightly.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in February 2020, there are 28 kinds of commodities rising month by month in the list of commodity prices in the chemical industry sector, including 5 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 5.7% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities rising are sulfur (10.60%), hydrofluoric acid (8.40%) and fluorite (8.05%). There are 48 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and 27 kinds of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 31% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three products falling are butadiene (- 22.76%), propane (- 21.45%) and hydrogen peroxide (- 18.21%). This month’s average rise and fall was – 2.53%.

3、 Future forecast

The chlorinated paraffin analyst of business association thinks that the current market of chlorinated paraffin is cold, the order is scarce, the downstream demand has not recovered, and the operating rate is not high. It is expected that the price of chlorinated paraffin will remain weak and stable in the later stage. It is suggested to pay attention to the change of raw materials and the downstream demand.