Monthly Archives: July 2025

Domestic fluorite prices have fallen this week (7.5-7.11)

The domestic fluorite price trend has slightly declined this week. As of the weekend, the average domestic fluorite price was 3137.5 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.40% from the beginning of the week price of 3150 yuan/ton and a year-on-year decrease of 16.14%.
Supply side: The mine is operating normally, and the supply of fluorite is normal
The current situation of the game in the domestic fluorite industry still exists. Overall, the operating rate of enterprises has increased. Upstream mining is tense, and backward mines will continue to be eliminated. In terms of new mines, mineral investigation work is still difficult. In addition, national departments need to rectify fluorite mines, and fluorite mining enterprises are facing increasingly strict safety and environmental protection requirements. The difficulty of operating fluorite mines has increased, and the shortage of raw materials has limited the operation of fluorite enterprises. However, with the rise of temperature, northern enterprises are operating normally, and the supply of fluorite enterprises in the field has increased. The lack of active procurement has led to sufficient spot goods in the field. Some fluorite manufacturers have a strong sentiment of destocking, resulting in a continued decline in the fluori.
Demand side: Low price of hydrofluoric acid, acceptable refrigerant market
This week, the domestic price of hydrofluoric acid remained low, and the mainstream price for hydrofluoric acid in various regions of China is negotiated at 10000-10500 yuan/ton. Some downstream hydrofluoric acid units are still shut down, and there is little change in the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid. Manufacturers mainly purchase hydrofluoric acid on demand, and the overall production of hydrofluoric acid remains at more than 50%. Fluorine enterprises maintain essential orders, and hydrofluoric acid enterprises are in a loss making state. They are not actively purchasing raw fluorite, and downstream merchants have a strong wait-and-see attitude. Both buyers and sellers have weak expectations for the future due to poor demand digestion. Recently, some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers have seen prices decline, which has affected the fluorite price market.
The downstream refrigerant market in the terminal industry is still promising, and the terminal policy of the refrigerant industry is being strengthened. Demand is expected to achieve substantial improvement. Fluorine chemical enterprises within quota control have strong confidence in raising prices in the refrigerant market. Currently, the pace of high price procurement is relatively slow, but the industry inventory is transmitting in a positive and orderly manner. Due to high prices, the enthusiasm for stocking up in the terminal industry is low, and upstream products are mainly purchased on demand. The trend of refrigerant market is average, while the fluorite market is sluggish.
In addition to the traditional demand in the refrigerant industry, fluorite, as an important mineral raw material for modern industry, is constantly developing in emerging fields. It is also applied in strategic emerging industries such as new energy and new materials, as well as in national defense, nuclear industry and other fields, including lithium hexafluorophosphate, PVDF、 Graphite negative electrodes, photovoltaic panels, etc., have received certain support in the application of fluorite due to the demand for new energy and semiconductors.
Market forecast: In the near future, it is difficult to improve the supply of domestic fluorite mines, and some mines have stopped production and undergone safety inspections. The tight supply of fluorite mines is a positive support for the fluorite market. However, in some areas, the lack of active fluorite procurement has led to an increase in inventory. In addition, downstream resistance to high prices is severe, and hydrofluoric acid enterprises mainly purchase on demand, with no actual increase in demand. In addition, the market price of hydrofluoric acid is low. Overall, the fluorite market price is prone to decline but difficult to rise in the short term.

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Acetic acid prices continued to decline in early July

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the price of acetic acid continued to decline in early July. As of the 9th, the average market price of acetic acid was 2430 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.41% from the beginning of the month price of 2490 yuan/ton. The domestic acetic acid market has fallen, mainly due to the increase in supply of acetic acid and insufficient demand follow-up, resulting in the accumulation of enterprise inventory, bearish market sentiment, and a downward shift in acetic acid prices. However, downstream stocking intentions are not high, and market transactions remain flat. Under the supply-demand game, the price center of acetic acid continues to decline.
The upstream methanol market continued to decline in early July. As of the 7th, the average price in the domestic market was 2390 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5.53% from the beginning of the month price of 2530 yuan/ton. The downstream market for methanol is weak, with average demand performance. In terms of external markets, the delivery of methanol in mainstream ports has ended, weakening support for the spot market. There is a lack of favorable conditions in the market, leading to a weak downward trend in the methanol market.
Market forecast: The acetic acid analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the domestic acetic acid production capacity utilization rate will remain high, and there will be significant inventory pressure on enterprises. Downstream companies will mainly adopt a wait-and-see approach, and the trading atmosphere in the market is average. The market situation is that supply exceeds demand, and it is expected that the acetic acid market will operate weakly in the short term. In the future, attention will be paid to downstream follow-up.

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Cost increase: DOP prices stop falling and rise in July

The price of plasticizer DOP stopped falling and rose in July
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of July 7th, the DOP price was 8259.17 yuan/ton, which first fell and then rose compared to the DOP price of 8259.17 yuan/ton on July 1st, and the overall price has stabilized; Compared to the DOP price of 8184.16 yuan/ton on July 2nd, it has increased by 0.92%. In July, DOP production decreased, and the operating rate of the plasticizer industry dropped to around 50%. DOP prices fluctuated and consolidated, plasticizer production decreased, raw material isooctanol prices fluctuated and rose, phthalic anhydride prices stopped falling and stabilized, plasticizer cost support increased, supply decreased combined with cost increases, and plasticizer prices fluctuated and rose.
The price of raw material isooctanol fluctuated and rose in July
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of July 7th, the price of isooctanol was 7733.33 yuan/ton, a fluctuating increase of 2.43% compared to the price of 7550 yuan/ton on July 1st. In July, the price of isooctanol fluctuated and rose, with many isooctanol enterprises undergoing maintenance, resulting in a decrease in the operating rate of isooctanol equipment, a reduction in isooctanol production, and a decrease in isooctanol supply; Downstream plasticizer companies have seen a decrease in production, leading to a decrease in demand for isooctanol and weak supply and demand. As a result, the price of isooctanol has fluctuated and risen.
In July, the price of raw material phthalic anhydride stopped falling and stabilized
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of July 7th, the price of phthalic anhydride was 6816.67 yuan/ton, which has stabilized from the price of 6866.67 yuan/ton on July 1st, with a decrease of 0.73%. In July, the price of ortho benzene stabilized, the price of industrial naphthalene fluctuated and stabilized, and the cost support of phthalic anhydride still exists. In July, phthalic anhydride equipment was repaired, and the operating rate of phthalic anhydride enterprises decreased, resulting in a reduction in phthalic anhydride supply. The downstream plasticizer market fluctuated and rose, and the operating load of plasticizer enterprise equipment decreased, weakening the demand support for phthalic anhydride. Stable supply and weak demand led to the stabilization of phthalic anhydride prices in July.
Future expectations
According to the data analyst of Shengyi Society’s plasticizer products, in terms of cost, the price of isooctanol has fluctuated and risen, while the price of phthalic anhydride has stopped falling and stabilized, and the cost support of plasticizer DOP has increased; On the supply side, plasticizer enterprises have seen a decrease in production, a reduction in plasticizer output, and a decrease in plasticizer supply. Overall, with reduced supply and cost support, it is expected that the price of plasticizer DOP will fluctuate and rise in the future.

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Domestic fluorite prices have fallen this week (6.29-7.4)

The domestic fluorite prices have continued to decline this week, with an average price of 3150 yuan/ton as of the weekend, a decrease of 2.89% from the early week price of 3243.75 yuan/ton and a year-on-year decrease of 16.08%.
Supply side: The mine is operating normally, and the supply of fluorite is normal
The current situation of the game in the domestic fluorite industry still exists. Overall, the operating rate of enterprises has increased. Upstream mining is tense, and backward mines will continue to be eliminated. In terms of new mines, mineral investigation work is still difficult. In addition, national departments need to rectify fluorite mines, and fluorite mining enterprises are facing increasingly strict safety and environmental protection requirements. The difficulty of operating fluorite mines has increased, and the shortage of raw materials has limited the operation of fluorite enterprises. However, with the rise of temperature, northern enterprises are operating normally, and the supply of fluorite enterprises in the field has increased. The lack of active procurement has led to sufficient spot goods in the field. Some fluorite manufacturers have a strong sentiment of destocking, resulting in a continuous decline in the fluori.
Demand side: Low price of hydrofluoric acid, acceptable refrigerant market
This week, the domestic price of hydrofluoric acid remained low, and the mainstream price for hydrofluoric acid in various regions of China was negotiated at 10500-11000 yuan/ton. Some downstream hydrofluoric acid units are still shut down, and there is little change in the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid. Manufacturers mainly purchase hydrofluoric acid on demand, and the overall production of hydrofluoric acid remains at more than 50%. Fluorine enterprises maintain essential orders, and hydrofluoric acid enterprises are in a loss making state. They are not active in purchasing raw fluorite, and downstream merchants have a strong wait-and-see attitude. Both buyers and sellers have weak expectations for the future due to poor demand digestion. Recently, some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers have seen prices decline, and the fluorite price market continues to decline due to this news.
The downstream refrigerant market in the terminal industry is still promising, and the terminal policy of the refrigerant industry is being strengthened. Demand is expected to achieve substantial improvement. Fluorine chemical enterprises within quota control have strong confidence in raising prices in the refrigerant market. Currently, the pace of high price procurement is relatively slow, but the industry inventory is transmitting in a positive and orderly manner. Due to high prices, the enthusiasm for stocking up in the terminal industry is low, and upstream products are mainly purchased on demand. The trend of refrigerant market is average, while the fluorite market is sluggish.
In addition to the traditional demand in the refrigerant industry, fluorite, as an important mineral raw material for modern industry, is constantly developing in emerging fields. It is also applied in strategic emerging industries such as new energy and new materials, as well as in national defense, nuclear industry and other fields, including lithium hexafluorophosphate, PVDF、 Graphite negative electrodes, photovoltaic panels, etc., have received certain support in the application of fluorite due to the demand for new energy and semiconductors.
Market forecast: In the near future, it is difficult to improve the supply of domestic fluorite mines, and some mines have stopped production and undergone safety inspections. The tight supply of fluorite mines is a positive support for the fluorite market. However, in some areas, the lack of active fluorite procurement has led to an increase in inventory. In addition, downstream resistance to high prices is severe, and hydrofluoric acid enterprises mainly purchase on demand, with no actual increase in demand. In addition, the market price of hydrofluoric acid is low. Overall, the fluorite market price is prone to decline but difficult to rise in the short term.

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High volatility price difference of acrylic acid in the first half of 2025

Price: The average price in East China is 7200 yuan/ton, with peak and valley values of 8000 yuan/ton in May and 6800 yuan/ton in June (price difference of 1200 yuan/ton).
Key factors:
1. Supply led price fluctuations: At the beginning of the year, Guangxi Huayi Parking and Yangtze BASF’s load reduction caused regional supply shortages and cross regional cargo transfers, leading to price surges. After the device was restored in June, coupled with slow recovery of terminal demand, prices fell back.
2. Price difference drives profit changes: During the period of tight supply, the price of acrylic acid skyrocketed due to maintenance/parking, far exceeding the increase in raw material propylene, resulting in a significant expansion of gross profit. In June, the demand for supply recovery was weak, prices fell, and cost support was weak, resulting in a narrowing of gross profit.
Future prospects:
In the second half of 2025, China’s acrylic acid industry will see a concentrated release of 740000 tons of planned production capacity, with new production capacity mainly concentrated in North and South China. Accompanying the implementation of production capacity is the significant deepening of integrated supporting facilities, which will promote the balance of internal production capacity allocation in various regions. The regional equilibrium distribution of production capacity or the promotion of market competition upgrading within the region is expected to continue to increase the intensity of the game between enterprises.
As micro competition intensifies, the overall pattern of the industry is evolving towards higher concentration. The integration of production capacity and the coordinated support of upstream and downstream are becoming the core engines of industry development – enhancing industrial concentration and improving the industrial chain, forming the dual main theme of the future evolution of the acrylic acid market.
In the second half of the year, the market still faces a severe test of dual expansion of supply and demand, and profit volatility will become the focus. The price operation logic is clear, anchoring two major dimensions:
Cost side pressure: Weak international crude oil expectations are transmitted to the raw material propylene, weakening its cost support for acrylic acid;
Loose supply and demand: The continuous expansion of acrylic acid and downstream industries has highlighted the pressure of oversupply, and the structural contradiction of “strong supply and weak demand” has further solidified in the expansion cycle.
Export will become a key variable: It is expected that the export of acrylic acid will continue to grow in the second half of 2025. By diverting the export volume of enterprises and regulating social demand, it will provide positive support for prices. At the same time, the increase in domestic production capacity will squeeze the import space, and it is expected that the import volume will show a narrow contraction compared to the first half of the year.
Taking into account multiple factors such as weak cost support, loose supply, export hedging, and import contraction, the average annual price of acrylic acid market in the second half of 2025 may slightly decline compared to the first half. Under the resonance of capacity release and cost pressure, the overall profit margin of the industry is facing further compression.

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The market price of xylene first rose and then fell in June, with an overall upward trend

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the toluene market will first rise and then fall in June 2025, with an overall increase. From June 1st to 30th, the domestic toluene market price rose from 5470 yuan/ton to 6070 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 10.97% during the period.
Early October: The toluene market fluctuated and rose in this cycle, and the supply in Shandong region was tight this week. Some enterprises stopped work for maintenance, and the market supply was significantly tight. The downstream oil blending industry has a decent enthusiasm for entering the market, but overall demand tends to be rigid. The East and South China regions have been affected by port conditions this week, resulting in tight supply. Supported by favorable supply side conditions, the overall market price has risen.
Mid month: The toluene market fluctuated and rose, and the supply in Shandong region remained tight this week. Some enterprises pre sold, and the market supply was significantly tight. The ex factory prices of local refining enterprises were generally raised. The downstream oil blending industry has a decent level of enthusiasm for entering the market, with active inquiries. The port inventory in East and South China has significantly decreased this week, and the supply is also tight. Supported by favorable supply side conditions, the overall market price has risen.
Late period: The toluene market first rose and then fell, and the international crude oil trend fluctuated, causing the toluene market to follow suit. As the end of the month approached, geopolitical conflicts eased, and due to the weakening of crude oil, toluene prices declined, resulting in an overall bearish supply-demand performance.
On the cost side, the crude oil market prices surged and plummeted in June. As of the 26th, the settlement price of the August WTI crude oil futures contract in the United States was $65.24 per barrel, and the settlement price of the August Brent crude oil futures contract was $67.73 per barrel. The crude oil market has experienced significant fluctuations this cycle, mainly due to the impact of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East. As the situation escalated and cooled down, crude oil prices have correspondingly risen and fallen sharply, with high volatility.
Supply side:
Sinopec’s toluene enterprise is operating normally, with stable production of equipment and many products for personal use, resulting in stable production and sales. As of June 30th, East China Company quoted 5700 yuan/ton, North China Company quoted 6100 yuan/ton, South China Company quoted 6250-6200 yuan/ton, and Central China Company quoted 6100-6200 yuan/ton.
Demand side:
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 30, 2025, the price of xylene sold by Sinopec Sales Company has remained stable, with a current price of 7300 yuan/ton. This price is being implemented in East China, North China, Central China, and South China. The operation of facilities such as Yangzi Petrochemical and Zhenhai Petrochemical is stable and sales are normal, with a price reduction of 450 yuan/ton compared to May 29. As of June 27th, the closing prices of the xylene market in Asia were $841-843/ton FOB Korea and $866-868/ton CFR China, an increase of $5/ton from May 27th.
Market forecast: The crude oil market has shown significant fluctuations in the near future, while the xylene market has been greatly affected. From the perspective of supply and demand, the supply of xylene in the market is still tight, and downstream demand is generally rigid. Overall, the favorable factors on the supply and demand side are insufficient. Due to the fluctuation of crude oil, the xylene market is expected to continue to fluctuate in the near future, and we will focus on the trend of crude oil in the future.

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The market price of isopropanol rose first and then fell in June

1、 Price trend
According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, the overall market price of isopropanol fell in June. On June 1st, the average price of isopropanol in China was 6525 yuan/ton, and on June 27th, the average price was 6133.33 yuan/ton, a decrease of 6% compared to the beginning of the month.
Overall, the isopropanol market prices fell in June. In the first half of the year, the price of raw material acetone fell, the market situation was light, and demand was weak, resulting in a decrease in the market price of isopropanol. The isopropanol market rose in mid month, with good shipments from major factories in Shandong and a slight increase in prices. The market stopped falling and rebounded, slightly boosting the mentality of industry players. In the latter half of the year, production companies had no inventory pressure, traders had average shipments, but their willingness to offer discounts was limited, downstream purchasing enthusiasm was not high, and market prices slightly decreased. As of now, most of the isopropanol market prices in Shandong are around 6000-6100 yuan/ton; The majority of prices in the isopropanol market in Jiangsu region are around 6200-6300 yuan/ton. Overall, the confidence in the isopropanol market is average, with market fluctuations being the main factor.
In terms of raw material acetone, the domestic acetone market fluctuated and fell in June. On June 1st, the average price of acetone was 5450 yuan/ton, and on June 27th, the average price was 5200 yuan/ton, a decrease of 4.59%. At present, facing the further decline of petrochemical industry chain products and downstream demand, the sentiment of entering the market for replenishment has decreased, and the actual transaction volume is limited.
In terms of propylene, the domestic propylene market price first rose and then fell in June. On June 1st, the market average was 6538.25 yuan/ton, and on June 27th, the average price was 6775.75 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 3.63%. At present, there is a lack of positive news in the market, and enterprise inventory has increased. Downstream market is expected to be weak and consolidate in the short term.
3、 Future forecast
The isopropanol analyst from Business Society Chemical Branch believes that the overall isopropanol market price fell in June. At present, the enthusiasm for downstream procurement is average, and there is a strong wait-and-see attitude in the market, with limited actual transactions. It is expected that isopropanol will fluctuate in the short term, and more attention should be paid to the trend of the raw material market.

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In June, zinc prices fluctuated downwards, showing a U-shaped trend

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 30th, the zinc price was 22486 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.11% from the zinc price of 22738 yuan/ton on June 1st. The zinc price first fell and then rebounded in June, showing a U-shaped trend.
At the beginning of the month, as imported zinc ore gradually arrived at the port, coupled with the gradual recovery and steady resumption of domestic mining production, the inventory of raw materials in refineries has risen, and zinc prices have fallen. In the middle of the month, downstream enterprises showed an increased willingness to purchase at low prices and replenish inventory. As a result, zinc prices experienced a slight rebound. However, the order situation in the terminal market has not shown significant improvement, and under the sustained effect of the off-season, companies generally hold a pessimistic attitude towards the future trend of zinc prices. Therefore, after a brief rebound, the zinc price adjusted downwards again. At the end of the month, the macro sentiment was good, and the overall performance of non-ferrous metals was strong, leading to a rebound in zinc prices. But from a fundamental perspective, oversupply is difficult to change, zinc prices lack upward driving force, and there is great upward pressure.
In terms of raw materials
In June, mines in northern China will basically resume work and production. The production of domestic zinc concentrate continues to increase. Although the window for importing zinc concentrate in June has closed, goods with previously locked prices will continue to flow into the market. It is expected that the supply of domestic zinc concentrate will remain relatively loose in June, and the processing fees for zinc concentrate will continue to rise.
Supply and demand side
On the supply side, the replenishment of imported ore in June and the gradual release of domestic mining production have driven the continuous increase in processing fees. With sufficient supply of raw materials, the production enthusiasm of smelters is high. On the demand side, zinc consumption is still in the off-season stage, but the continued implementation of the “trade in” policy in China is expected to have a certain boosting effect on consumption.
Future forecast
Although there has been a significant increase in the domestic zinc production plan for June, based on the actual weekly production data, it may be difficult to achieve the expected level. It is expected that zinc prices will experience a slight correction in the short term, but caution should be exercised when chasing long positions.

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