On August 7, 2018, there were one type of commodities that rose in the price of the fluorine chemical industry, one product that fell, and three commodities that went up and down to zero. The main commodities that rose were: chloroform (0.56%); the main commodities that fell were: hydrofluoric acid (-0.23%).

On the 7th, the market trend of fluorine chemical raw materials declined slightly. The price of raw fluorite was 2670 yuan/ton, the mainstream of fluorite market in northern China was 2600-2700 yuan/ton, and the price of southern fluorite market was 2600-2800 yuan/ton. The fluorite installation of the parking was not broken, the phoenix installation started to rise, the spot supply was relieved, and the fluorite price declined slightly, but the decline was limited. In addition, the downstream refrigerant industry has a price reduction demand, the price of hydrofluoric acid market has declined. As of the 7th, the price of hydrofluoric acid market is 10,925 yuan / ton. The market of hydrofluoric acid market has a downward trend. It is expected that the fluorine chemical industry will be slightly go lower.

First, the price trend
According to the data of the business community’s big list, the domestic dry-process aluminum fluoride market price rose first this month. At the beginning of the month, the average market price was 10,814 yuan/ton, and at the end of the month, it was 10,442 yuan/ton, and the price was lowered by 3.43%.

Second, the market analysis
The price of aluminum fluoride rose first this month: in the first ten days, the price of aluminum fluoride was higher under the support of raw material hydrofluoric acid; in the latter half of the year, the price of hydrofluoric acid showed a downward trend, without the support of raw materials and the weak downstream demand. The price of aluminum fluoride has fallen.

Industry chain: upstream hydrofluoric acid: domestic hydrofluoric acid operating rate is about 70%, the company reflects that the current supply of hydrofluoric acid spot supply is sufficient, and the recent market has weakened, some manufacturers’ prices have dropped slightly. Up to now, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid in the southern region is 10,500-11,000 yuan/ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 11,000-11,500 yuan/ton. The domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is slightly lower, the supply of spot goods is normal, and the recent downstream receiving market is generally low. The purchase of hydrogen fluoride market has weakened slightly, and the price of hydrofluoric acid has declined slightly. Downstream electrolytic aluminum: The price of electrolytic aluminum rose weakly this month. At the beginning of the month, the price remained at 13,990 yuan/ton, and at the end of the month, it was 14,182, and the price was raised by 1.38%.

Third, the market outlook

The analyst of the aluminum fluoride industry of the Chemical Industry Branch of the business community believes that the price of upstream raw material hydrofluoric acid continues to decrease, and the downstream demand for aluminum fluoride has not improved. It is expected that the price of aluminum fluoride will be lowered next month.

First, the price trend

According to statistics from business clubs, the average price of ethylene oxide was 10,604.55 yuan/ton (including tax), which was flat.

Second, market analysis

Product: The current domestic mainstream quoted price of ethylene oxide market is located at 10500-10700 yuan/ton. The Jilin Zhongxin Group ethylene oxide unit was shut down from March 20th to April 10th, and the market remained tight.

Industrial chain: At present, the raw material ethylene support is still acceptable. The main pressure of ethylene oxide comes from the ethylene glycol market. Sinopec and private enterprises still have the intention to maintain the policy of limited production and price protection, and the demand for ethylene oxide needs to be further followed up. At the same time, under the premise of higher ethylene oxide inventory, the possibility of market decline is not ruled out, then the downstream will continue to take goods to pull the low cost, and in late April the price may rebound again.

Third, the market outlook forecast

Chen Lin, analyst of Ethylene Oxide, Chemicals Branch of Business Club, believes that at present, the ethylene oxide price stagnation is running smoothly.

The U.S. market closed at $10 a ton on Oct. 24, closing at $805 – $815 / ton FOB U.S. harbour.

On October 24, the price of the Asian region’s ethylene market fell slightly, and CFR northeast Asia closed down $5 / ton at $1274-1276 / ton. CFR southeast Asia closed down $5 / ton at $1154-1156 / ton

Recently published by the National Development and Reform Commission, the National Energy Board, the Ministry of Finance and other 15 departments jointly issued “on the expansion of bio-fuel ethanol production and promotion of the use of automotive ethanol gasoline implementation plan” release. The topic of fuel ethanol has once again become hot. The program to the strongest efforts so far, the vehicle ethanol gasoline from the current 11 provinces pilot to the country, the goal is to 2020, the basic realization of the domestic full coverage.

This is the Gospel for the ethanol market. Assuming a nationwide promotion of ethanol gasoline, the future will consume at least 10 million tons of fuel ethanol, excluding the current domestic fuel ethanol production capacity (more than 200 million tons), and is the new capacity (about 200 million tons), conservative There are about six or seven million supply gap. And last year the domestic increase in ethanol import tariffs, imports will be reduced. Then the promotion of fuel ethanol, the most direct lead to the domestic demand for ethanol.

At present, the domestic ethanol production capacity of about 2.25 million tons. The acetic acid / acetate ethanol plant has the following sets (including not yet put into operation, or a planned construction device)
In the case of

However, the current use of ethanol for ethanol, or the use of fixed-point production, directional flow of the way. Part of the synthesis of anhydrous ethanol into the field of fuel ethanol, but also the basic informal channels. But from the current national efforts to promote the promotion of fuel ethanol, the demand for late ethanol will undoubtedly increase significantly.

Acetic acid / acetate ethanol plant on the consumption of acetic acid is larger, about 1.2. Although the current acetic acid / acetate ethanol plant is not much. In terms of production capacity, the total consumption of the process accounts for about 9% of the total consumption of acetic acid. In fact, the process started in 2017 is not satisfactory, most devices in a parking state, the actual consumption of acetic acid accounted for about 4.11%.

If the fuel ethanol really substantial promotion later, then the acetic acid / acetate ethanol will also usher in the development of time, when the process of acetic acid demand will be substantially increased, Table 1, the parking device does not rule out the possibility of recovery, in addition to Lijin Yixiang Is expected to put into operation in mid-2018 Then the proportion of consumption of glacial acetic acid will be significantly improved.

In general, the development potential of fuel ethanol is very large, the current national policy, post-promotion will become an inevitable trend. This is for the acetic acid / acetate ethanol will also be a greater development opportunities, further enhance the downstream production is a good prediction of late consumption of acetic acid, the future consumption of ethanol in the consumption of acetic acid chain will also be a qualitative change.

September 19 Asian p-xylene market closing price rose 5 US dollars / ton, closing price of 831-833 US dollars / ton FOB Korea and 849-851 US dollars / ton CFR China.

September 19, the European ethylene market closing prices rose, FD Northwest Europe prices rose 0.5 euros / ton to close at 995-999 euros / ton; CIF Northwest Europe prices rose 2.5 US dollars / ton to close at 1179-1184 US dollars / ton