Crude Benzene Market Continues to Rise (July 31st to August 7th)

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Business Society, from July 31 to August 7, 2023, the auction price of crude benzene increased during the week, from 6581.25 yuan/ton last weekend to 7198.75 yuan/ton this weekend, with a weekly increase of 9.38%.

 

In terms of crude oil, overnight crude oil futures jumped sharply on Thursday. The settlement price of the main contract for WTI crude oil futures in the United States was $81.55 per barrel, an increase of $2.06 or 2.6%. The settlement price of the main contract for Brent crude oil futures was $85.14 per barrel, an increase of $1.94 or 2.3%. On August 4th, the domestic SC crude oil market rose with the main contract settling at 622.1 yuan/barrel, a decrease of 1.55%. There are reports that Saudi Arabia and Russia will extend their independent production reduction period until September, or even longer, as supply tightening is expected to intensify.

 

The factory price of Sinopec pure benzene has increased by a total of 400 yuan/ton during this cycle, with a current implementation of 7600 yuan/ton.

 

Other companies: Jingbo Petrochemical quoted 7750 yuan/ton, HSBC Petrochemical quoted 7600 yuan/ton, Weilian Chemical quoted 7733 yuan/ton, Xinhai Petrochemical quoted 7750 yuan/ton, and Hongrun Petrochemical quoted 7600 yuan/ton.

 

This week, the price of pure benzene has slightly increased. As of July 31st, the price of pure benzene was 7287 yuan/ton. On Friday (August 4th), the price of pure benzene was 7670 yuan/ton, an increase of 6.08% compared to last week and a decrease of 9.94 compared to the same period last year.

 

The K-bar chart of commodity prices uses the concept of a price trend K-line to reflect weekly or monthly price fluctuations in the form of a bar chart. Investors can buy and sell investments based on the changes in the K-bar chart. Red indicates an increase; Green indicates a decline; The height of the K-bar represents the range of fluctuations. The weekly K-bar chart of pure benzene shows that the pure benzene market has seen a positive trend in recent times. After ten consecutive weeks of decline, it has continued to rise for five consecutive weeks.

 

From the perspective of the industrial chain, the trend of crude oil this week has been volatile, with pure benzene continuing to rise in the external market. Pure benzene in East China continues to rise, and the overall market supply is currently tight. Sinopec has raised the factory price of pure benzene twice in a row, with a cumulative increase of 400 yuan/ton. Supported by multiple positive factors, the price of pure benzene continues to rise, and the price of hydrogenated benzene has also risen within the week, with an increase of 350 to 400 yuan/ton.

 

During this cycle, the auction price of crude benzene continued to strengthen, with prices ranging from 7320 to 7325 yuan/ton in Shandong region, an increase of 620 yuan/ton. The Shanxi region implemented a price increase of 800 yuan per ton from 7000 to 7050 yuan per ton. On the supply side, the operating rate of coking enterprises has slightly declined this week, and the supply of crude benzene has tightened. In terms of demand, hydrogenation benzene enterprises have started to recover this week, with a slight rebound in demand. The prices in the main production areas of hydrogenation benzene are between 7650-7850 yuan/ton, and the current demand for crude benzene is still acceptable. Overall, the tight supply of pure benzene has driven the overall upward trend of the industrial chain, and the market trading situation has improved. In the future, there has been no significant change in supply and demand, and the trend of hydrogenated benzene will still follow the fluctuations of the pure benzene market. There is some resistance in the downstream of the high price of pure benzene, but the overall supply of pure benzene is tight, which has a certain boost to the market. It is expected that the high volatility trend in the crude benzene market will be the main trend in the short term.

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