1、 Price trend

As can be seen from the figure above, the domestic market of imported potassium chloride fell slightly this week, with the price falling from 3766.67 yuan/ton at the end of last week to 3750.00 yuan/ton at the end of this week, a decline of 0.44%. The arrival price of potassium chloride in domestic salt lakes this week is 3660-3880 yuan/ton. On November 13, the potassium chloride (import) commodity index was 98.68, unchanged from yesterday, 31.82% lower than the cycle’s highest point of 144.74 (2022-06-21), and 2.04% higher than the lowest point of 96.71 on September 16, 2021. (Note: Period refers to 2021-09-01 to now)

2、 Market analysis

The quotation of domestic mainstream potassium chloride manufacturers fell slightly this week: the arrival price of 60% potassium chloride in Qinghai Salt Lake was 3660-3880 yuan/ton, and the price was temporarily stable. Xiangyang Youdeshi’s potassium chloride dealer quoted 3800 yuan/ton this weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with last weekend. Zibo Dehe’s potassium chloride dealer quoted 3800 yuan/ton this weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with last weekend. Anhui Badou’s potassium chloride dealer quoted 3650 yuan/ton this weekend, down 50 yuan/ton compared with last weekend. The self raised price of 62% white potassium at the port is about 3500-3600 yuan/ton. The self raised price of 60% Dahong Granules at the port is about 3500-3600 yuan/ton. 62% of Russian white potassium in border trade is about 3400 yuan/ton.

From the downstream market of potassium chloride, the factory price of potassium carbonate fell slightly this week, from 9237.50 yuan/ton at the end of last week to 9162.50 yuan/ton at the end of this week, a drop of 0.81%, up 13.82% year-on-year. The factory price of potassium nitrate fell slightly this week, from 6075.00 yuan/ton at the end of last week to 5875.00 yuan/ton at the end of this week, down 3.29%, 0.86% year-on-year. On the whole, the downstream market of potassium chloride fell slightly, and downstream customers’ demand for potassium chloride weakened.

3、 Future market forecast

The overall trend of potassium chloride market in the middle and late November may be dominated by narrow shocks. The price of potassium chloride in Salt Lake and Zangger was adjusted at a low level. The downstream market of potassium chloride fell slightly, and the downstream demand was weakened, mainly for the purchase of steel. International potash fertilizer prices fell slightly. Potassium chloride analysts from the business community believe that the domestic potassium chloride import price may fall slightly in the short term.