Author Archives: lubon

DMF market remains stable in March

1、 Price trend
According to data monitored by Shengyi Society, as of March 31st, the average quotation price of domestic high-quality DMF enterprises was 4220 yuan/ton. Currently, the DMF market price is mainly stable, and the price is mainly stable.
2、 Market analysis
Recently, DMF prices have been running steadily. Currently, the downstream demand for DMF procurement atmosphere is average, with downstream essential procurement being the main focus. The overall market supply and demand are balanced, and the overall market is running steadily. The reference for DMF bulk delivery prices in East China is 4400-4550 yuan/ton in Jiangsu and 4450-4600 yuan/ton in Zhejiang.
3、 Future forecast
DMF analysts from Shengyi Society believe that the DMF market is expected to operate steadily with a moderate to strong trend in the short term.

http://www.gammapolyglutamicacid.com

Dragged by bullish and bearish factors in March, polyester filament prices fell

According to the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, the overall price of polyester filament has been weak due to the drag of long and short factors this month. At the end of the month, some companies alleviate inventory pressure and offer discounts on shipments through promotional offers. On March 31st, the mainstream polyester filament factories in Jiangsu and Zhejiang quoted POY (150D/48F) at 6800-7100 yuan/ton, polyester DTY (150D/48F low elasticity) at 8100-8350 yuan/ton, and polyester FDY (150D/96F) at 7100-7400 yuan/ton.
In terms of cost, international crude oil prices fluctuate due to the geopolitical situation and supply and demand expectations, with the settlement price of the main Brent crude oil futures contract fluctuating around $85 per barrel in March. The prices of upstream raw materials (PX, PTA, MEG) have all fallen across the board. At the end of March, the average price of PTA in the East China market was 4861 yuan/ton, a decrease of nearly 2% from the beginning of the month
In terms of demand, the traditional peak season of “gold, silver, and silver” did not perform as expected, with weak foreign trade orders and domestic sales mainly focused on replenishing inventory for essential needs. The release pace of spring and summer orders was slow, and the growth rate of polyester filament production capacity slowed down. However, the high operating rate (about 88%) led to inventory rising to a nearly three-year high, resulting in significant supply pressure in the industry.
Overall, the polyester filament market has been under triple pressure this month, including declining costs, weak demand, and high inventory levels. Prices have remained stable but slightly weak. In the future, it is important to focus on the trend of crude oil, the pace of terminal order recovery, and enterprise differentiation strategies. There is limited room for price rebound in the short term, and Business Society believes that the polyester filament market will continue to operate weakly in the short term.

http://www.gammapolyglutamicacid.com

Tin prices fluctuate upward this week, mining news is tight (3.24-3.28)

According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, the 1 # tin ingot market in East China rose this week (3.24-3.28), with an average market price of 276960 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 279770 yuan/ton at the end of the week, with a weekly increase of 1.01%.
Fundamentally, on Friday, Myanmar was suddenly hit by an earthquake. Although the direct impact on local supply was relatively limited, it cast a shadow over the prospects of resuming production in the Wa State. At the same time, mines in the Democratic Republic of Congo have been shut down and urgently need minerals from Myanmar to fill the gap. However, the impact of this earthquake is difficult to accurately quantify. Once the mine is damaged and collapses, the resumption of production this year may be in vain, and the supply gap is expected to further widen. The import volume of tin ore in China is expected to experience a significant decline, and the tight supply of domestic tin ore is difficult to effectively alleviate. The production of refined tin may show a downward trend, and the weekly operating rate data of Yunnan refined tin has also confirmed this concern.
On the demand side, the operating rate of downstream tin and solder enterprises in December showed a month on month upward trend, reaching 76%; The operating rate of lead-acid batteries in February decreased to 58.6% month on month. In addition, PVC production achieved a year-on-year increase of 1.8% in January and February; The production of flat glass in December decreased by 1.2% year-on-year.
This week’s domestic inventory is 9225 tons, an increase of 650 tons; Spot premium of 150 yuan; LME inventory is 3050 tons, with a slight accumulation of global inventory.
comprehensive analysis
In the short term, the trend of tin prices is relatively strong. Pay attention to the news of Myanmar tin mine resuming production.

http://www.gammapolyglutamicacid.com

The dichloromethane market fluctuated within a range in March

Price trend: narrow fluctuations, mixed ups and downs
According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, on March 27th, the average price of dichloromethane (DCM) in Shandong Province was 2385 yuan/ton, a monthly decline of 5.73%, falling to the lowest point of the month, and showing an overall range oscillation pattern:
-On March 10th, it fell to the low point of 2400 yuan/ton in the first round of the month (-5.14% compared to the beginning of the month);
-On March 19th, it rebounded to a monthly high of 2575 yuan/ton (+1.78% compared to the beginning of the month).
Analysis of influencing factors
1. Supply side: Stable operating rate, periodic manifestation of inventory pressure
-The average operating rate of the methane chloride unit remains at 80%, with sufficient supply.
-The competition among enterprises has intensified, and the two rounds of bidding sales at the end of the month have suppressed prices. Currently, there is a wide downward adjustment, and market trading has increased. The short-term deep decline space is limited.

2. Cost side: Both raw materials methanol and liquid chlorine are rising
-Methanol: Affected by fluctuations in local facilities, spot prices have slightly risen to 2679.17 yuan/ton (+1.9% from the beginning of the month).
-Liquid chlorine: The maintenance plan for the alkali plant in April has increased, and the expected tight supply will support prices. However, downstream procurement is cautious, and the supply-demand game continues.
3. Demand side: Mainly focused on rigid procurement, with refrigerant demand providing support
-The overall demand in downstream industries is weak, and many companies are buying stocks at low prices, resulting in weak high price transactions.
-The refrigerant R32 market is strengthening, coupled with price adjustments by leading companies and the launch of long-term agreement negotiations in the second quarter, the industry’s prosperity is recovering, indirectly benefiting DCM prices.
4. Import and export: export surge, import low
-Export: Accumulated export of 31700 tons from January to February 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 34% (single month year-on-year increase of 74.9% in February), with strong external demand easing domestic supply pressure.
-Imports: The cumulative imports from January to February were only 24 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 64.3%, with a weak impact on the domestic market.
Future prospects
The current market is intertwined with long and short factors:
-Advantages: Support from raw material costs, rebound in refrigerant demand, and growth in exports;
-Negative: Loose supply, downstream high price resistance, inventory digestion still takes time.
Overall, the short-term price of dichloromethane may continue to fluctuate within a certain range. If exports continue to increase or costs continue to rise, the price center is expected to slightly shift upward.

http://www.gammapolyglutamicacid.com

On March 26th, cyclohexane remained stable

1、 Price trend

 

According to data monitored by Shengyi Society, as of March 26th, the average price of industrial grade high-quality cyclohexane in China was 7600 yuan/ton. The cyclohexane market is mainly balanced in supply and demand, with insufficient downstream demand and a narrow and weak overall market operation. Currently, the mainstream market price remains at around 7700 yuan/ton.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

In terms of cost, there is insufficient support from the upstream cost side, weak demand for downstream procurement, and the overall market is running steadily with little price fluctuations.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

The cyclohexane analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the upstream cost support is poor and downstream demand is insufficient. It is expected that the cyclohexane market will remain stable in the short term.

http://www.gammapolyglutamicacid.com

Supply and demand game, the acrylic acid market is stable with a tendency towards strength

1、 Market price trend

 

Under the influence of the supply-demand game, the price of acrylic acid in the market shows a trend of strong oscillation. Specifically manifested as:

 

1. Price fluctuations: The price of acrylic acid in the market exhibits a fluctuating pattern of ups and downs at different time periods. This price fluctuation reflects the complex changes in the market under the influence of various factors such as supply and demand, raw material costs, production capacity and supply and demand, as well as policies and regulations.

 

2. Overall trend: Despite fluctuations in market prices, the overall trend is stable with an upward trend. As of March 25th, the benchmark price of acrylic acid in Shengyi Society was 7475.00 yuan/ton, a decrease of -2.92% compared to the beginning of this month (7700.00 yuan/ton).

 

2、 Market supply and demand situation

 

1. Supply side: In the short term, some maintenance units have plans to restart next week, and the expected on-site supply will increase narrowly compared to the current situation. It is expected that the capacity utilization rate will increase narrowly, and the short-term spot supply will still be tight.

 

2. Demand side: Currently, with the rise of acrylic acid prices to a high level, downstream end users are mainly digesting contracts. However, the sustained high volatility of prices has forced some downstream companies to enter the market to replenish, and with some terminal factories reducing load or stopping operations, it is not ruled out that there may be the possibility of early stocking. The demand side is cautiously optimistic.

 

3、 Future prospects

 

With the expansion of production capacity in the acrylic acid industry, market competition will become more intense. Enterprises need to improve their market competitiveness through technological innovation, product structure adjustment, and other means.

 

With the increasing global emphasis on environmental protection and sustainable development, environmental requirements will become an important limiting factor for the development of the acrylic acid industry. Enterprises need to adopt environmentally friendly materials, optimize production processes, and other measures to reduce environmental pollution during the production process.

 

The collaboration and integration between upstream and downstream enterprises in the acrylic acid industry chain will be strengthened to enhance the competitiveness and profitability of the entire industry chain.

 

In summary, under the game of supply and demand, the acrylic acid market has shown a trend of strong oscillation in recent times. In the future, the acrylic acid industry will continue to maintain its growth trend, but market competition will also become more intense. Enterprises need to closely monitor market trends and actively respond to challenges posed by market competition and environmental requirements in order to achieve healthier and more sustainable development.

http://www.gammapolyglutamicacid.com

The price of caustic soda has decreased this week (3.17-3.24)

1、 Price trend

 

According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of caustic soda has decreased this week. The average market price at the beginning of the week was 993 yuan/ton, and the average market price over the weekend was 963 yuan/ton, a decrease of 3.02% and a year-on-year increase of 14.1%. On March 23, the Business Social Chemical Index was 836 points, unchanged from yesterday, a decrease of 40.29% from the highest point of 1400 points during the cycle (October 23, 2021), and an increase of 39.80% from the lowest point of 598 points on April 8, 2020. (Note: The cycle refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to present)

 

2、 Market analysis

 

According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of caustic soda has been running at a lower level this week. The price of caustic soda in Shandong region is around 900-970 yuan/ton in the mainstream market of 32% ion-exchange membrane alkali. The price of caustic soda in Jiangsu region is stable, with a mainstream market price of 980-1050 yuan/ton in 32% ion-exchange membrane alkali. The price of caustic soda in Inner Mongolia region is temporarily stable, with a mainstream market price of 3050-3150 yuan/ton (converted to 100%) in 32% ion-exchange membrane alkali. The overall price of caustic soda has fallen, and the main caustic soda inventory has accumulated. With the main regional liquid caustic soda procurement prices being lowered again. The main regional liquid alkali market has experienced a decline, and non aluminum demand is high, so it is necessary to wait and see. The market demand is average.

 

Business analysts believe that in recent times, the price of caustic soda has been declining, leading to significant inventory pressure for enterprises and average downstream demand. The comprehensive prediction of supply and demand game is that caustic soda will maintain a weak operating trend in the later stage, depending on downstream market demand.

http://www.gammapolyglutamicacid.com

Zinc prices fluctuated and rose in early March (3.3-3.14)

According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, as of March 14th, the price of 0 # zinc was 24216 yuan/ton, a slight increase of 2.36% compared to the zinc price of 23660 yuan/ton on March 3rd.

 

This week’s market analysis

 

This week, the trend of zinc prices is relatively strong. With the start of production by enterprises in March and the gradual recovery of output, zinc ingots have fluctuated and adjusted within the range, with an overall slight increase.

 

Raw material end

 

As the previously suspended mines gradually resume production, domestic zinc ore production has increased month on month, and the supply from the mining end remains loose. To repair profit margins, refineries continue to increase their processing fee (TC) quotes. At present, the domestic zinc ore price in March has significantly increased compared to the level in February. Refineries mainly purchase domestically produced minerals, and it is expected that processing fees will continue to rise in the future.

 

Supply and demand side

 

Since March, with the recovery of processing fees, the profit margin of refineries has been effectively restored, production enthusiasm has increased, and production has shown a steady increase trend. In terms of the end consumer market, with the continuous recovery of the economy and the gradual recovery of demand, the operating rate of galvanizing and zinc oxide sectors has significantly increased, and market activity has strengthened. However, in the field of die-casting zinc alloys, due to the high inventory levels of finished products in some large factories, in order to avoid inventory backlog and capital occupation, they have chosen to temporarily suspend production, which has to some extent affected the overall operating rate of the sector.

 

comprehensive analysis

 

The macroeconomic environment is showing a relatively warm trend, providing strong support for the zinc market and driving the zinc price center to gradually shift upward. However, considering the continuous improvement of processing fees (TC), the supply side shows an increasing trend, which will have a certain suppressive effect on zinc prices. With the gradual digestion of macro emotions, the market’s expectations for future zinc prices will also tend to be rational. It is expected that zinc prices will be under pressure in the short term.

http://www.gammapolyglutamicacid.com

Cyclohexane remains stable, with moderate downstream demand

1、 Price trend

 

According to data monitored by Shengyi Society, as of March 20th, the average price of industrial grade high-quality cyclohexane in China was 7600 yuan/ton. The cyclohexane market is mainly balanced in supply and demand, with insufficient downstream demand and a narrow and weak overall market operation. Currently, the mainstream market price remains at around 7700 yuan/ton.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

In terms of cost, the upstream cost side lacks support for cyclohexane, and downstream demand is insufficient. Currently, the overall market shipment is slow, and the upstream pure benzene market is mainly stable. In the short term, the pure benzene market is operating in a range of consolidation.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

The cyclohexane analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the upstream cost support is poor and downstream demand is insufficient. It is expected that the cyclohexane market will remain stable in the short term.

http://www.gammapolyglutamicacid.com

Adipic acid market continues to decline

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic adipic acid market has been continuously declining since March. On March 1st, the average market price of adipic acid was 8366 yuan/ton. On March 18th, the average market price of adipic acid in China was 7766 yuan/ton, a decrease of 7.17%.

 

Negative led domestic adipic acid market continues to weaken

 

Since March, the prices of pure benzene and cyclohexanone raw materials for adipic acid have been continuously declining, and the demand in the terminal industry is sluggish. The supply pressure in the adipic acid market has doubled, and the shipping prices of adipic acid manufacturers and traders have continued to decline. Market transactions are poor, and sales are average. The average market price of adipic acid has dropped to around 7700 yuan/ton, with an overall decrease of 500 yuan/ton.

 

An analyst from Shengyi Society believes that by the end of March, there will be little improvement in demand in the terminal industry, and the raw material market will continue to bottom out. The adipic acid market will continue to weaken in the future.

http://www.gammapolyglutamicacid.com