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High volatility price difference of acrylic acid in the first half of 2025

Price: The average price in East China is 7200 yuan/ton, with peak and valley values of 8000 yuan/ton in May and 6800 yuan/ton in June (price difference of 1200 yuan/ton).
Key factors:
1. Supply led price fluctuations: At the beginning of the year, Guangxi Huayi Parking and Yangtze BASF’s load reduction caused regional supply shortages and cross regional cargo transfers, leading to price surges. After the device was restored in June, coupled with slow recovery of terminal demand, prices fell back.
2. Price difference drives profit changes: During the period of tight supply, the price of acrylic acid skyrocketed due to maintenance/parking, far exceeding the increase in raw material propylene, resulting in a significant expansion of gross profit. In June, the demand for supply recovery was weak, prices fell, and cost support was weak, resulting in a narrowing of gross profit.
Future prospects:
In the second half of 2025, China’s acrylic acid industry will see a concentrated release of 740000 tons of planned production capacity, with new production capacity mainly concentrated in North and South China. Accompanying the implementation of production capacity is the significant deepening of integrated supporting facilities, which will promote the balance of internal production capacity allocation in various regions. The regional equilibrium distribution of production capacity or the promotion of market competition upgrading within the region is expected to continue to increase the intensity of the game between enterprises.
As micro competition intensifies, the overall pattern of the industry is evolving towards higher concentration. The integration of production capacity and the coordinated support of upstream and downstream are becoming the core engines of industry development – enhancing industrial concentration and improving the industrial chain, forming the dual main theme of the future evolution of the acrylic acid market.
In the second half of the year, the market still faces a severe test of dual expansion of supply and demand, and profit volatility will become the focus. The price operation logic is clear, anchoring two major dimensions:
Cost side pressure: Weak international crude oil expectations are transmitted to the raw material propylene, weakening its cost support for acrylic acid;
Loose supply and demand: The continuous expansion of acrylic acid and downstream industries has highlighted the pressure of oversupply, and the structural contradiction of “strong supply and weak demand” has further solidified in the expansion cycle.
Export will become a key variable: It is expected that the export of acrylic acid will continue to grow in the second half of 2025. By diverting the export volume of enterprises and regulating social demand, it will provide positive support for prices. At the same time, the increase in domestic production capacity will squeeze the import space, and it is expected that the import volume will show a narrow contraction compared to the first half of the year.
Taking into account multiple factors such as weak cost support, loose supply, export hedging, and import contraction, the average annual price of acrylic acid market in the second half of 2025 may slightly decline compared to the first half. Under the resonance of capacity release and cost pressure, the overall profit margin of the industry is facing further compression.

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The market price of xylene first rose and then fell in June, with an overall upward trend

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the toluene market will first rise and then fall in June 2025, with an overall increase. From June 1st to 30th, the domestic toluene market price rose from 5470 yuan/ton to 6070 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 10.97% during the period.
Early October: The toluene market fluctuated and rose in this cycle, and the supply in Shandong region was tight this week. Some enterprises stopped work for maintenance, and the market supply was significantly tight. The downstream oil blending industry has a decent enthusiasm for entering the market, but overall demand tends to be rigid. The East and South China regions have been affected by port conditions this week, resulting in tight supply. Supported by favorable supply side conditions, the overall market price has risen.
Mid month: The toluene market fluctuated and rose, and the supply in Shandong region remained tight this week. Some enterprises pre sold, and the market supply was significantly tight. The ex factory prices of local refining enterprises were generally raised. The downstream oil blending industry has a decent level of enthusiasm for entering the market, with active inquiries. The port inventory in East and South China has significantly decreased this week, and the supply is also tight. Supported by favorable supply side conditions, the overall market price has risen.
Late period: The toluene market first rose and then fell, and the international crude oil trend fluctuated, causing the toluene market to follow suit. As the end of the month approached, geopolitical conflicts eased, and due to the weakening of crude oil, toluene prices declined, resulting in an overall bearish supply-demand performance.
On the cost side, the crude oil market prices surged and plummeted in June. As of the 26th, the settlement price of the August WTI crude oil futures contract in the United States was $65.24 per barrel, and the settlement price of the August Brent crude oil futures contract was $67.73 per barrel. The crude oil market has experienced significant fluctuations this cycle, mainly due to the impact of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East. As the situation escalated and cooled down, crude oil prices have correspondingly risen and fallen sharply, with high volatility.
Supply side:
Sinopec’s toluene enterprise is operating normally, with stable production of equipment and many products for personal use, resulting in stable production and sales. As of June 30th, East China Company quoted 5700 yuan/ton, North China Company quoted 6100 yuan/ton, South China Company quoted 6250-6200 yuan/ton, and Central China Company quoted 6100-6200 yuan/ton.
Demand side:
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 30, 2025, the price of xylene sold by Sinopec Sales Company has remained stable, with a current price of 7300 yuan/ton. This price is being implemented in East China, North China, Central China, and South China. The operation of facilities such as Yangzi Petrochemical and Zhenhai Petrochemical is stable and sales are normal, with a price reduction of 450 yuan/ton compared to May 29. As of June 27th, the closing prices of the xylene market in Asia were $841-843/ton FOB Korea and $866-868/ton CFR China, an increase of $5/ton from May 27th.
Market forecast: The crude oil market has shown significant fluctuations in the near future, while the xylene market has been greatly affected. From the perspective of supply and demand, the supply of xylene in the market is still tight, and downstream demand is generally rigid. Overall, the favorable factors on the supply and demand side are insufficient. Due to the fluctuation of crude oil, the xylene market is expected to continue to fluctuate in the near future, and we will focus on the trend of crude oil in the future.

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The market price of isopropanol rose first and then fell in June

1、 Price trend
According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, the overall market price of isopropanol fell in June. On June 1st, the average price of isopropanol in China was 6525 yuan/ton, and on June 27th, the average price was 6133.33 yuan/ton, a decrease of 6% compared to the beginning of the month.
Overall, the isopropanol market prices fell in June. In the first half of the year, the price of raw material acetone fell, the market situation was light, and demand was weak, resulting in a decrease in the market price of isopropanol. The isopropanol market rose in mid month, with good shipments from major factories in Shandong and a slight increase in prices. The market stopped falling and rebounded, slightly boosting the mentality of industry players. In the latter half of the year, production companies had no inventory pressure, traders had average shipments, but their willingness to offer discounts was limited, downstream purchasing enthusiasm was not high, and market prices slightly decreased. As of now, most of the isopropanol market prices in Shandong are around 6000-6100 yuan/ton; The majority of prices in the isopropanol market in Jiangsu region are around 6200-6300 yuan/ton. Overall, the confidence in the isopropanol market is average, with market fluctuations being the main factor.
In terms of raw material acetone, the domestic acetone market fluctuated and fell in June. On June 1st, the average price of acetone was 5450 yuan/ton, and on June 27th, the average price was 5200 yuan/ton, a decrease of 4.59%. At present, facing the further decline of petrochemical industry chain products and downstream demand, the sentiment of entering the market for replenishment has decreased, and the actual transaction volume is limited.
In terms of propylene, the domestic propylene market price first rose and then fell in June. On June 1st, the market average was 6538.25 yuan/ton, and on June 27th, the average price was 6775.75 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 3.63%. At present, there is a lack of positive news in the market, and enterprise inventory has increased. Downstream market is expected to be weak and consolidate in the short term.
3、 Future forecast
The isopropanol analyst from Business Society Chemical Branch believes that the overall isopropanol market price fell in June. At present, the enthusiasm for downstream procurement is average, and there is a strong wait-and-see attitude in the market, with limited actual transactions. It is expected that isopropanol will fluctuate in the short term, and more attention should be paid to the trend of the raw material market.

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In June, zinc prices fluctuated downwards, showing a U-shaped trend

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 30th, the zinc price was 22486 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.11% from the zinc price of 22738 yuan/ton on June 1st. The zinc price first fell and then rebounded in June, showing a U-shaped trend.
At the beginning of the month, as imported zinc ore gradually arrived at the port, coupled with the gradual recovery and steady resumption of domestic mining production, the inventory of raw materials in refineries has risen, and zinc prices have fallen. In the middle of the month, downstream enterprises showed an increased willingness to purchase at low prices and replenish inventory. As a result, zinc prices experienced a slight rebound. However, the order situation in the terminal market has not shown significant improvement, and under the sustained effect of the off-season, companies generally hold a pessimistic attitude towards the future trend of zinc prices. Therefore, after a brief rebound, the zinc price adjusted downwards again. At the end of the month, the macro sentiment was good, and the overall performance of non-ferrous metals was strong, leading to a rebound in zinc prices. But from a fundamental perspective, oversupply is difficult to change, zinc prices lack upward driving force, and there is great upward pressure.
In terms of raw materials
In June, mines in northern China will basically resume work and production. The production of domestic zinc concentrate continues to increase. Although the window for importing zinc concentrate in June has closed, goods with previously locked prices will continue to flow into the market. It is expected that the supply of domestic zinc concentrate will remain relatively loose in June, and the processing fees for zinc concentrate will continue to rise.
Supply and demand side
On the supply side, the replenishment of imported ore in June and the gradual release of domestic mining production have driven the continuous increase in processing fees. With sufficient supply of raw materials, the production enthusiasm of smelters is high. On the demand side, zinc consumption is still in the off-season stage, but the continued implementation of the “trade in” policy in China is expected to have a certain boosting effect on consumption.
Future forecast
Although there has been a significant increase in the domestic zinc production plan for June, based on the actual weekly production data, it may be difficult to achieve the expected level. It is expected that zinc prices will experience a slight correction in the short term, but caution should be exercised when chasing long positions.

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From June to present, the n-butanol market in Shandong has fluctuated with ups and downs

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 25, 2025, the reference price of n-butanol in Shandong Province, China is 6433 yuan/ton. Compared with June 20 (reference price of n-butanol is 6316 yuan/ton), the price has increased by 117 yuan/ton, an increase of 1.85%. Compared with June 1st (reference price of 6400 yuan/ton for n-butanol), the price has increased by 33 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.52%
In early June, the n-butanol market in Shandong region showed a weak downward trend. After the Dragon Boat Festival, some n-butanol units resumed operation, and the overall supply in the yard increased. The downstream digestion raw materials were mainly used, and the demand was weak. The positive effect of n-butanol was not enough, and the market price fell all the way to the lowest point in the month. On June 15, the market price of n-butanol in Shandong Province was 6233 yuan/ton, down 2.60% in the first ten days.
In late June, the n-butanol market fluctuated with ups and downs. At the beginning and end of the year, the n-butanol market experienced a brief upward trend, with downstream stocking up and demand improving, supporting the upward adjustment of the n-butanol market. Subsequently, demand returned to calm, and the support for n-butanol in the market loosened, resulting in a narrow downward adjustment of market focus. As the end of the month approaches, the n-butanol market is operating on an upward trend, with some facilities temporarily shut down. The supply of n-butanol is becoming tight, and downstream purchasing enthusiasm is increasing. The transmission of n-butanol supply and demand is improving, and the focus of market negotiations is raised. As of June 25th, the n-butanol market price in Shandong region is around 6450-6450 yuan/ton.
Market analysis in the future
At present, the trading atmosphere in the n-butanol market is good, the mentality of the industry is good, and the supply and demand transmission is smooth. The n-butanol data analyst of Shengyi Society predicts that in the short term, the n-butanol market in Shandong will mainly operate steadily with a moderate to strong trend, and specific changes in supply and demand news need to be closely monitored.

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The market price of ammonium sulfate has risen significantly (6.17-6.24)

1、 Price trend
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the average price of ammonium sulfate in the domestic market on June 24th was 1343 yuan/ton, an increase of 26.13% compared to the average price of 1065 yuan/ton on June 17th.
2、 Market analysis
Supply and demand situation
This week, the price of ammonium sulfate in the domestic market has risen significantly, and the operating rate of enterprises has slightly adjusted. Partial maintenance of the caprolactam unit has led to a decrease in the supply of ammonium sulfate in the market. Recently, due to geopolitical events, some countries have suspended production and restricted the production of urea. The global nitrogen fertilizer supply has decreased, and the international urea price has risen significantly, which indirectly benefits the ammonium sulfate market. Due to the continuous rise in ammonium sulfate prices, downstream particle manufacturers are actively purchasing.
market conditions
As of June 24th, the mainstream ex factory quotation for coking grade ammonium sulfate in Shandong region is around 1200 yuan/ton. Domestic grade ammonium sulfate, the mainstream ex factory quotation in Shandong region is around 1300-1450 yuan/ton.
3、 Future forecast
An ammonium sulfate analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the recent trend of the ammonium sulfate market has been dominant. At present, the market remains optimistic, with manufacturers and traders mainly pushing prices. But after the continuous rise in ammonium sulfate prices, downstream caution has increased. It is expected that the domestic ammonium sulfate market price will be relatively strong in the short term and will continue to consolidate and operate.

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Supply increases, costs fall, DOP prices stop rising and fall this week

The price of plasticizer DOP has stopped rising and fallen back
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 20th, the DOP price was 8267.50 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.10% from the high of 8284.17 yuan/ton on June 18th; Compared to June 13th, the DOP price of 8250.83 yuan/ton first rose and then fell, with an increase of 0.20%. This week, DOP prices fell from a high level, plasticizer companies increased their operating load, plasticizer production increased, raw material isooctanol prices first rose and then fell, phthalic anhydride prices fluctuated and rose, plasticizer costs first rose and then fell, and plasticizer prices fell from a high level.
The price of raw material isooctanol first rose and then fell
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 20th, the price of isooctanol was 7483.33 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.12% from the price of 7566.67 yuan/ton on June 18th; Compared to June 13th, the price of isooctanol at 7390 yuan/ton first rose and then fell, with an increase of 1.26%. This week, the price of isooctanol first rose and then fell. The production of isooctanol enterprises increased this week, resulting in an increase in isooctanol production and supply. The support for the rise of isooctanol weakened, and the price of isooctanol stopped rising and fell back.
Raw material phthalic anhydride prices fluctuate and rise
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 20th, the price of phthalic anhydride in neighboring countries was 6933.33 yuan/ton, which fluctuated and increased by 0.24% compared to the price of phthalic anhydride on June 13th, which was 6916.67 yuan/ton. This week, the price of ortho benzene remained stable, while the price of industrial naphthalene fluctuated and rose. The cost support for phthalic anhydride increased, and the operating rate of phthalic anhydride enterprises decreased to 6.50%. The supply of phthalic anhydride decreased, and the downstream plasticizer market rose. The equipment operating load of plasticizer enterprises increased slightly, and the demand support for phthalic anhydride increased. Supply has decreased and demand has rebounded, leading to an increase in phthalic anhydride prices. The support of rising DOP raw material costs still exists.
Future expectations
According to the data analyst of Shengyi Society’s plasticizer products, in terms of cost, the price of isooctanol first rose and then fell, the price of phthalic anhydride fluctuated and rose, and the cost support of plasticizer DOP decreased; On the supply side, plasticizer companies have seen an increase in production, resulting in an increase in plasticizer output and supply. In the future, as supply increases and costs fall, it is expected that the price of plasticizer DOP will fluctuate and stabilize.

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The price of activated carbon has increased due to the rise in raw material prices

According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of activated carbon at the beginning of the week was 12533 yuan/ton, and the price of activated carbon at the end of the week was 12566/ton, with a price increase of 0.27%.
Most domestic activated carbon manufacturers have stable quotes this week, with some rising. The ex factory price of activated carbon for coconut shell water purification in East China is between 9000-13000 yuan/ton, and the rise in raw material prices supports the price of coconut shell activated carbon. Industry insiders are mostly optimistic about the future market.
Internationally, Southeast Asia, as the main source of coconut shells worldwide, will face multiple natural disasters in 2024. Thailand will experience a reduction in coconut production due to drought and pest infestations, while some production areas in Indonesia will be affected by abnormal rainfall at the end of the rainy season, resulting in a decrease in coconut shell collection efficiency. In the short term, the import price of coconut shell charcoal will continue to operate at a high level.
Prediction: The transaction volume in the activated carbon market is accelerating, and it is expected that the price of activated carbon will mainly fluctuate with a strong trend in the short term.

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The epoxy chloropropane market is temporarily stable this week

The epoxy chloropropane market has been operating steadily this week. According to the monitoring and analysis system of Shengyi Society, as of June 17th, the benchmark price of Shengyi Society’s epichlorohydrin was 9200.00 yuan/ton, a decrease of -5.15% compared to the beginning of this month (9700.00 yuan/ton).
Price influencing factors:
On the raw material side: The high and firm prices of glycerol in foreign markets, coupled with weak domestic demand, have led to a decline in glycerol prices. The market price of raw material propylene is fluctuating and consolidating, with some regions experiencing price declines. According to the market analysis system of Shengyi Society, as of June 16th, the benchmark price of propylene in Shengyi Society was 6540.75 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.04% compared to the beginning of this month.
Supply side: Some devices are in long-term shutdown. The overall operating rate of the epichlorohydrin industry is 50-60%.
Downstream demand side: The downstream epoxy resin market demand is generally average, and downstream users tend to be cautious and cautious in procurement. When encountering low-priced purchases, there may be an increase in new orders. Overall, downstream demand is average, and the market has a strong wait-and-see attitude. The overall operating rate of liquid resin is 70-80%, and the overall operating rate of solid resin is 50-60%.
Market forecast: Business Society’s epoxy chloropropane analyst believes that there is insufficient cost support, weak downstream demand, cautious procurement, and mainly bargain hunting. It is expected that the epoxy chloropropane market will maintain a stable to weak trend in the short term, and more attention still needs to be paid to changes in raw material prices and market supply and demand.

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This week, the domestic titanium dioxide market price is temporarily stable (6.9-6.13)

1、 Price trend
Taking the sulfuric acid method gold red stone type titanium dioxide with a large volume of goods in the domestic market as an example, according to data monitoring by Business Society, the domestic titanium dioxide market price has remained stable this week, with an average price of 14220 yuan/ton.
2、 Market analysis
The domestic titanium dioxide market price has remained stable this week. At present, the price of titanium dioxide in the market is relatively chaotic, and coupled with entering the off-season, it is difficult to find favorable support from the demand side. Influenced by the mentality of buying up rather than buying down, downstream factories are more cautious in purchasing goods. The price of upstream titanium concentrate has slightly decreased, while the price of sulfuric acid is high. Due to inventory and cost pressures, on-site enterprises have experienced a further decline in production, and the overall market has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. As of now, the domestic quotation for sulfuric acid based pyrite type titanium dioxide is mostly between 13500-14600 yuan/ton; Sharp titanium type costs around 12300-12800 yuan/ton; The actual transaction price is negotiable.
In terms of titanium concentrate, the price of titanium concentrate has slightly decreased this week. At present, downstream demand for titanium dioxide is poor, with light new orders and cautious procurement of raw materials. The main focus is on observing and observing, with mining companies facing significant shipping pressure and overall market prices remaining weak and stable. As of now, the transaction price of 46,10 titanium ore for small and medium-sized manufacturers is between 1780-1900 yuan/ton; The price of 47,20 ore ranges from 1950 to 2150 yuan/ton; The price of 38 titanium ore excluding tax is around 1180-1250 yuan/ton. It is expected that the titanium ore market price will continue to operate weakly and steadily in the short term.
3、 Future forecast
The titanium dioxide analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the domestic titanium dioxide market price is temporarily stable this week. Downstream market demand is weak, market transactions are light, actual order negotiations are the main focus, and transactions are cautious. It is expected that in the short term, the market situation of titanium dioxide will be mainly wait-and-see, and the actual transaction price will be subject to negotiation.

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