Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the market price of ammonium sulphate dropped this week. The average price of ammonium sulphate at the beginning of the week was 656 yuan/ton, while the average price at the end of the week was 650 yuan/ton, down 1.02%. Compared with August 1 (660.00), it decreased by 1.52%.

II. Market Analysis

Products: At present, the mainstream of ammonium sulphate in Shandong is quoted 550-680 yuan/ton, the mainstream of ammonium sulphate in Northeast is quoted 650 yuan/ton, the mainstream of ammonium sulphate in Henan is quoted 600-700 yuan/ton, the mainstream of ammonium sulphate in Hebei is quoted 600-660 yuan/ton, and the mainstream of ammonium sulphate in Shanxi is quoted 550-650 yuan/ton. The mainstream ammonium sulfate factory quotation in East China is about 700 yuan/ton. Domestic coking grade ammonium sulfate Market is dominated by forward orders, with a small volume, and market prices continue to oscillate downward trend. The price of caprolactam ammonium sulphate is firm, and the price of caprolactam ammonium sulphate fluctuates in the region. The downstream of Shandong Province is affected by typhoon and the goods are moving slowly.

Industry chain: This week, the distribution price of sulphuric acid in Shandong fell slightly. The quotation fell from 225.00 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 217.50 yuan/ton at the end of the week, dropping 7.50 yuan/ton, or 3.33%, down 50.57% from the same period last year. Overall, this week’s sulphuric acid market has fallen, sulphuric acid manufacturers have less inventory and less downstream demand. The overall market trend of downstream compound fertilizer enterprises is stable, with a start-up rate of about 40%. The actual transaction price of the enterprise was lower than that of the earlier period. Compound fertilizer enterprises maintained a wait-and-see attitude and were not active in stockpiling.

Industry: According to the price monitoring of business associations, in the 32nd week of 2019 (8.12-8.18), there were 0 commodities rising or falling in the list of fertilizer prices, 4 commodities falling, and 5 commodities rising or falling to 0. The main commodities falling were liquid ammonia (-3.03%), urea (-1.45%) and ammonium sulfate (-1.02%). Average gains and losses this week were -0.69%.

3. Future Market Forecast

Ammonium sulfate analysts believe that the domestic ammonium sulfate Market as a whole price shock finishing, domestic demand for ammonium sulfate is limited. The downstream compound fertilizer enterprises still have no improvement in starting rate, which is weaker than the same period in previous years. Narrow fluctuations in the coking market range are downward. Prices at the internal level remain stable under the support of export orders, and each manufacturer does not rule out the possibility of price reduction. It is expected that the ammonium sulfate Market will continue to be weak downward in the later period, mainly in consolidation.

On August 19, the phthalic anhydride commodity index was 57.10, down 0.16 points from yesterday, down 52.47% from the cyclical peak of 120.13 points (2012-02-28), and up 17.93% from the lowest point of 48.42 on January 21, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date).

Recent domestic market price fluctuation of phthalic anhydride, price fluctuation of phthalic anhydride and phthalic anhydride in eastern China, downstream factories maintaining just in need of purchase, factory inventory pressure, high-end transaction hindered, the mainstream of on-site neighbouring source negotiations is 5700-5900 yuan/ton, the mainstream of naphthalene source negotiations is 5300-5400 yuan/ton; the mainstream of phthalic anhydride market in North China is 5300-5400 yuan/ton. The quotation ranges from 5700 to 5800 yuan/ton, the market price remains volatile, the quotation of enterprises is temporarily stable, the downstream construction is not high, the procurement is on demand, the wait-and-see mentality is strong, the domestic phthalic anhydride plant is stable, the spot supply of phthalic anhydride is normal, and the price trend of phthalic anhydride is mainly volatile.

In the near future, the domestic price of phthalic anhydride upstream product Sinopec o-phthalic acid is 6000 yuan/ton. The import market of phthalic anhydride in the port area has fallen, the quotation is stable, the recent market of phthalic anhydride in the port is general, the port stock is low, the quotation of o-phthalic anhydride outside market has fallen concussively, the actual transaction price is based on negotiation, the factual details are discussed in detail, Market prices remain low and volatile. Downstream DOP raw material phthalic anhydride price is temporarily stable, isooctanol price is stable, DOP cost trend is stable. DOP prices remain stable temporarily, DOP downstream demand is general, customer purchasing enthusiasm is general, downstream PVC market shocks rise, DOP market mainstream transaction price is about 7350 yuan/ton, downstream prices are low shocks, it is expected that phthalic anhydride market prices will maintain shocks in the later period.

Price List of Magnesium Ingot in 2018-2019

The market trend of magnesium ingots in 2018 can be roughly divided into three stages: from the beginning of the year to the middle of May, magnesium ingots oscillate in the range of 15,000-15,500 yuan/ton; from the middle of May, the price of magnesium ingots rises steadily, opening up a good market for magnesium. The price of magnesium ingots breaks through 16,000 yuan/ton in late June, 17,000 yuan/ton in early August, 18,000 yuan/ton in mid-October; and from the beginning of December, magnesium ingots break through 16,000 yuan/ton in late Price callback, return to 17,000 yuan/ton at the end of the year.

According to the data of business associations, domestic magnesium ingots (99.90) were quoted 17033.33 yuan/ton on December 31, 2018, 15 437.5 yuan/ton on December 31, the annual increase was 10.34%, 14 975 yuan/ton on January 11, the increase was 13.75%, which was lower than the peak price of magnesium ingots (29 November) and 18420 yuan/ton on November 29. The range was 7.53%. Based on the average price at the beginning of the year, the average annual fluctuation of magnesium ingot Market in 2018 is 22.32%.

The price of magnesium ingot in 2019 is slightly higher than that in the same period in 2018, but the price trend is weaker. According to data from business associations, as of August 16, the average annual peak price of magnesium ingots in 2019 was 17,550 yuan/ton (March 17), which was 3.03% higher than the average price at the beginning of the year; the lowest price appeared on July 8, and the average price of magnesium ingots was 15,433.33 yuan/ton, which was 9.39% lower than the average price at the beginning of the year; and the annual amplitude was 12.43%.

Prices of magnesium ingots were relatively stable in the early period of 2019. Prices of magnesium ingots fluctuated around 17 000 lines from mid-January to early May, with a range of 16 500 to 17 500 yuan/ton. From late May to early July, prices of magnesium ingots dropped sharply. According to data from business associations, the average market price of magnesium ingots on May 20 was 16 900 yuan/ton, and on July 10, the average market price of magnesium ingots was 15 433.33 yuan./ In 40 days, the price of magnesium ingot dropped by 1500 yuan/ton, or 8.68%. In mid-July, the price of magnesium ingot rose by 16,000 yuan/ton, then slightly returned to 15,500 yuan/ton. In August, the average price of magnesium ingot began to rise steadily, and by August 16, the average price of magnesium ingot Market rose by 2.15%.

From January to August 2019, the average monthly price of domestic magnesium ingot Market rose and fell as follows (yuan/ton):

Monthly rise and fall (%) amplitude (%) minimum price (date) maximum price (date)
1-0.49 4.75 16400.00 (01.09) 17225.00 (01.23)
2.15 1.15 16875.00 (02.12) 17075.00 (02.18)
3.74 3.24 17000.00 (03.01) 17550.00 (03.17)
4-0.73 0.73 17025.00 (04.09) 17150.00 (04.01)
5-1.13-1.13 16833.33 (05.31) 17025.00 (05.01)
6-6.34-6.34 15766.67 (06.26) 16833.33 (06.01)
7-1.69 3.38 15433.33 (07.08) 15966.67 (07.18)
8 (as of 16 days) 2.15 2.15 15833.33 (08.16) 15500.00 (08.01)
2019.08 Business Association
Www.100ppi.com
Ferrosilicon Price of Raw Material Strong Cost Support of Magnesium Ingot

In 2019, the price of raw material ferrosilicon is stronger than that of magnesium ingot. According to business association data (as shown below), the price trend of magnesium ingot-ferrosilicon tends to converge obviously in the end of January-February. After the price of raw material ferrosilicon rose in early March, the price of magnesium ingot oscillated all the way, while the price of magnesium ingot declined significantly.

The price trend chart of magnesium ingot-ferrosilicon in 2019 is as follows:
The weakening of the correlation between magnesium ingot and ferrosilicon price shows that this year the price of magnesium ingot is weakened by the influence of cost factors. The market expectation (or the willingness of manufacturers to bid) of the price of magnesium ingot rising steadily due to the rising price of raw materials collapsed in previous years. On the other hand, it also reflects that the price of magnesium ingot rose by 18,000 yuan/ton in 2018 and then entered 201. Nine years of magnesium ingot prices are relatively high, cost factors are relatively weak, supply and demand factors are enlarged. Downstream demand, factory inventory and capital turnover demand have become the focus of market game.

Although the influence of raw material ferrosilicon on the price of magnesium ingot has weakened in recent months, with the price of magnesium ingot declining, it gradually returns to the front line of 15500-16000 yuan/ton. From the point of view of cost factor and historical data, it should also be respected.

According to the latest news, the latest developments of steel recruitment in August are as follows:

1. The tender price of Ferrosilicon of Nanyang Hanye Special Steel was announced in August. The acceptance price of Ferrosilicon including tax was 6260 yuan/ton, which was 30 yuan/ton higher than that of July, and the quantity was 200 tons, 50 tons higher than that of July.

2. Hengyang Hualing Steel Pipe started bidding in late August. This 75B Ferrosilicon Bidding Quantity is 360 tons. The quotation deadline is 10 a.m. on August 16. The delivery date is required before August 30.

3. The tender price of ferrosilicon in Lingyuan Iron and Steel Co. was announced in August. The acceptance price of ferrosilicon with tax was 6 630 yuan/ton, and the quantity was more than 1,000 tons.

From the above data, it can be concluded that the steel price in August is more stable than that in July. Overall, the market supply side is loose (Ferrosilicon manufacturers resume production news, Zhongwei Dayou smelting opened a new 45000 KVA ore furnace), downstream demand is weak and other negative factors, Ferrosilicon manufacturers’mentality has been impacted, quotation slightly declined. In addition, the output of ferrosilicon reached 464,000 tons in July, an increase of 238,000 tons compared with June, an increase of 5.41% annually. In the week of August 2, the national start-up rate was 59.08%, which was 0.4% lower than that of last week. The average daily output was 15101 tons, a decrease of 343 tons annually. In the absence of positive factors, the short-term ferrosilicon market may maintain weak and stable operation.

The future trend of ferrosilicon may be weak and stable, but based on the relatively strong position of raw material ferrosilicon price over magnesium ingot price, the cost support of magnesium ingot is still strong. Recently, the price of magnesium ingot has been steadily rising, and the future trend of magnesium ingot-ferrosilicon price is not uncertain.

Magnesium exports in the first half of the year were running well

According to statistics from the General Administration of Customs, in the first half of 2019, the total export volume of six kinds of magnesia and its products in China totaled 232.4 million tons, an increase of 19.3% over the same period last year, and a cumulative export value of 4.117 billion US dollars, an increase of 34.3% over the same period last year.

Among them, in June, the export volume of six kinds of duty magnesia and its products totaled 37.1 million tons, an increase of 8.0% compared with the same period of last year, and the export amount was 668 million US dollars, an increase of 23% compared with the same period of last year; in June, the export volume of magnesium increased by 5.03% annually compared with May, and the export amount increased by 9.28%.

Recent Magnesium Market’s Steady and Strong Operation

It is reported that at present, most factories have fewer spot sources and less inventory pressure. Some magnesium enterprises mainly sell in advance, and the delivery date is shorter than the spot, then it is moved back 3-5 days and about a week. On the one hand, the demand has improved slightly based on the release of orders backlogged in earlier period of export; on the other hand, due to the current off-season of production, hot weather and plant equipment maintenance routine, producers in the main production area began routine equipment maintenance, expected factory output will decline, factory warehouse. As a whole, there is not much stock, and the willingness of the factory to bid is still there.

This week (8.12-8.16) the price of magnesium ingots gradually increased. By Friday, the cash tax price of magnesium ingots (99.9%, non-pickling, simple packaging) from the main domestic producing areas was firm. Some manufacturers’quotations went up. The specific quotation ranges were as follows:

Fugu area has ex-factory cash remittance of 15700-16000 yuan/ton, Taiyuan area of 15800-16000 yuan/ton, Wenxi area of 16000-16200 yuan/ton and Ningxia area of 15800-15900 yuan/ton.

In terms of actual transaction, the mainstream factories in northern Shaanxi offer a spot exchange rate of 15700-15800 yuan/ton, the lowest spot exchange rate of 15650 yuan/ton, and the low-cost source of goods is hard to find; the ex-factory price in Taiyuan is 15800-15900 yuan/ton, the spot price is not much, the pre-sale production is predominant, which is expected to last until next Wednesday or so, and the spot price in Wenxi area is 1600-16100 yuan/ton.

Magnesium City Future Expectation

In 2019, supply and demand will dominate the market of magnesium ingots. Unless the price of magnesium ingots goes down, the cost-side factor will probably be highlighted again at the low price of magnesium ingots.

Recently, the magnesium ingot Market has been well-traded, pre-sale orders have been signed from time to time, and the demand side has improved compared with the early July. With the continuous release of inventory, the production of factory orders will become more common, and the enthusiasm of downstream purchasing will increase. It is expected that the price of magnesium ingot will stabilize and run strongly in the near future. Later, it will pay attention to the actual market transactions and the maintenance of magnesium plants. Situation.

Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, as of August 15, the average price of domestic aggregated MDI market was 13,200 yuan/ton, which rose by 6.88% annually and fell by 30.47% year on year. The overall market is expected to stop falling and stabilize.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Domestic aggregate MDI market has stopped falling and needs to rise. The main factories in the North release favorable conditions, supply reduction, strict implementation of the settlement price announced at the beginning of the month, the market is obvious, other factories have not yet responded, the holders mainly accompany the shipment, the quotation is stable, but the confidence in the future market is generally insufficient, downstream negotiations have not been significantly better. Supported by cost, it is expected that short-term aggregate MDI market prices will remain stable, and market negotiations will be watched. With the gradual arrival of the traditional peak season gold, silver and ten, and the impact of domestic anniversary activities, future demand is expected to be good, and future prices are explored.

On the market side, the price range of aggregated MDI market in South China is volatile. North China and East China market providers tentative increase in quotations, South China market providers offer more stable, downstream pickup situation is very low, wait and see the market turnover. The aggregated MDI market in East China has strong shocks. On-site vendors tentatively raised their quotations and waited to see if the focus of the negotiations would move up. Sporadic inquiries from downstream traders are dominant. The aggregated MDI market in North China has remained stable. Yesterday’s low-price market negotiations are still in place, with the main shipment of goods accompanied by the holder. Marketers’offer is stable or tentative to increase the quotation and wait for the closing of the transaction.

Industry chain: raw materials, pure benzene: most refineries are still available, and driven by the reduction of temporary parking supply in some refineries and the rise of local hydrobenzene, the market mentality is positive, Shandong pure benzene market rose to 4750-4900 yuan/ton. Local hydrobenzene prices range from 4700 to 4750 yuan per ton.

Aniline: A large factory in Shandong was temporarily shut down due to typhoon, but the Jinling Dongying plant was upgraded to full load operation with normal supply. However, supported by rising costs, the domestic aniline market price is stable. North China mainstream negotiation price reference at 5620-5980 yuan/ton. However, due to the delay of shipment and the increase of market delivery, there are low prices in East China market. The mainstream of East China market refers to 5850-5950 yuan/ton acceptance.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business Cooperative Perspective: Supported by cost, business associations aggregate MDI analysts predict that short-term domestic aggregate MDI market prices are expected to stop falling and stabilize, and wait for market negotiations.

Price trends:

According to the data of business associations, the ABS market in China was weak in early August, and prices fell. As of August 9, the mainstream offer price of general-purpose ABS was about 12650.00 yuan/ton, down 1.17% from the beginning of the month.

2. Analysis of influencing factors:

Industry chain: ABS upstream, styrene market prices fell in early August, a larger decline. Most domestic enterprises reduce prices and promote sales, the downstream mainstay of low demand, spot to maintain the “buy-up-not-buy-down” mentality, wait-and-see aggravated. Recently, international oil prices and pure benzene have fallen continuously, and the news on the periphery continues to be negative. Domestic enterprises have stepped up their inventory, and merchants have a higher intention to ship goods, so they are more willing to let profits go single. Styrene is expected to be dominated by low-end finishing next week; spot supply of acrylonitrile-related products is slightly tight in August, downstream demand maintains just demand, and supply and demand in the field are basically balanced. Recently, the domestic acrylonitrile quotation is relatively stable; in early August, the domestic butadiene price continued to rise, Sinopec’s supply price continued to adjust to the high level of 10,000 yuan, a small amount of supply in Northeast China increased prices broadly, and the shortage of spot resources in East China boosted the high level of the market. The spot resources in East China are limited, and some of the high-priced goods in North China inflow to supplement. Inventory lows sustain a continuous rise in supplier prices, and high spot prices continue to boost the market. Butadiene supply side is not pressured for the time being, and the market is hard to find a low price source. Upstream three materials support ABS poorly, downstream household appliances and other factories start-up rate is reduced, supply exceeds demand. Trading is weak, business people are more open-minded.

3. Future market forecast:

Business analysts believe that ABS offer continued to fall in early August. The upstream support for ABS is not good, and the downstream factory demand is weak, the market is empty and the transaction is slow. The negative impact is stronger than the positive. It is expected that the recent trend of ABS offer will continue to be weak.

Price Trend

According to the data monitored by business associations, the price of potassium nitrate in China was reorganized this week. As of August 9, the price of potassium nitrate, the first-class industrial product in China, was quoted at 4312 yuan/ton. The market was stable this week.

II. Market Analysis

Products: This week, the domestic potassium nitrate Market is not hot, the overall inventory is low, the factory start-up rate is low, there is no sales pressure, the actual volume is low, downstream purchasing just wait-and-see, quantity just need to purchase, it is expected that the short-term market consolidation of potassium nitrate is the main, domestic potassium nitrate mainstream manufacturers quote 4250-4500 yuan./ Tons.

3. Future Market Forecast

The analyst of potassium nitrate of business association thinks: this week, the market of potassium nitrate is mainly consolidated, and the actual spot delivery is general. It is expected that the demand for potassium nitrate will hardly improve greatly in the short term. Market consolidation is mainly carried out. In the long run, the “gold, silver and ten” is coming, and the market may be warming up, mainly by the demand side leading price trend.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the market price of ammonium sulfate had been slightly lowered up to August 11. At the beginning of the week, the average price of domestic ammonium sulfate was 660 yuan/ton, while the average price of ammonium sulfate at weekend was 656 yuan/ton, down by 0.5%.

II. Market Analysis

Products: At present, the mainstream of ammonium sulfate in Shandong is quoted at 550-720 yuan/ton, the mainstream of ammonium sulfate in Northeast is quoted at 650 yuan/ton, the mainstream of ammonium sulfate in Henan is quoted at 600-700 yuan/ton, the mainstream of ammonium sulfate in Hebei is quoted at 600-680 yuan/ton, and the mainstream of ammonium sulfate in Shanxi is quoted at 550-620 yuan/ton. The mainstream ammonium sulfate factory quotation in East China is about 700 yuan/ton. Domestic coking grade ammonium sulfate market demand is sluggish, slow-moving goods, showing a downward trend. The price of ammonium sulfate of lactam grade is stable and the starting rate is still acceptable. Some enterprises plan to overhaul and wait and see in the future.

Industry chain: According to the price monitoring of business associations, the distribution price of sulphuric acid in Shandong has risen slightly this week. The quotation rose from 225.00 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 227.50 yuan/ton at the end of the week, up 2.50 yuan/ton, up 1.11%, down 48.88% from the same period last year. Overall, although the sulfuric acid market rose this week, due to supply and demand and raw materials and other factors, the sulfuric acid market tends to decline, and is expected to decline later. The market of downstream compound fertilizer enterprises tends to be flat and changeable, and the price of wheat fertilizer becomes clear in autumn. Enterprises are now operating rate of about 40%, affected by environmental protection, starting rate is at a low level, compound fertilizer enterprises are still cautious and cautious wait-and-see attitude. Fertilizer outbreaks in autumn occur from mid-late August to early September.

Industry: According to the price monitoring of business associations, in the 31 st week of 2019 (8.5-8.9), there were 16 commodities rising annually in the chemical sector, of which 2 commodities increased by more than 5%, accounting for 2.4% of the monitored commodities in the sector; the first three commodities were hydrogen peroxide (12.69%), acetic anhydride (10.50%) and butadiene (4.20%). There are 36 kinds of commodities with a decline of more than 5%, accounting for 2.4% of the monitored commodities in this sector. The products with the first three declines are yellow phosphorus (-22.73%), sulfur (-5.81%) and propylene (-4.45%). Average gains and losses this week were -0.41%.

3. Future Market Forecast

Ammonium sulphate analysts believe that the domestic ammonium sulphate off-season market is flat and demand is limited, looking forward to the outbreak of fertilizer in autumn. The downstream compound fertilizer enterprises are relatively cautious and have no favorable support. Narrow fluctuation of coking grade market, weak downward trend, pre-ammonium sulfate pressure behavior. The price of hexalactam grade is firm and the previous order is the main one. It is expected that ammonium sulfate Market will continue to consolidate downward and fluctuate narrowly in the later period.

According to the data of business associations, this week (8.5-8.9) the domestic price of cis-butadiene rubber rose sharply. At the beginning of the week, the price was 10,700 yuan/ton, and at the end of the week, the price was 11,1187 yuan/ton, an overall increase of 4.56%.

Cost side: The high price of raw material butadiene supports the formation of cis-butadiene rubber

This week, domestic butadiene spot resource supply still has some support. According to the business associations, the 60,000 tons/year extraction equipment of Shandong Witt Chemical Company stopped after a short period of operation in January, and the restart time is unknown. Huayu Butadiene Extraction Plant in Shandong Province stopped about July 12. The 100,000 tons/year Oxygen Dehydrogenation Unit in Silbang, Jiangsu Province stopped for overhaul on July 29, and the estimated time lasted about 15 days. The 30,000 tons/year plant of Liaoyang Petrochemical Company stopped for overhaul on June 5 and restarted in early August. Affected by this, the domestic butadiene market once surged this week, with Sinopec’s supply price rising to 1000-10100 yuan/ton and Northeast manufacturers’price rising to 9700-9810 yuan/ton. During the week, Sinopec’s supply price increased continuously, which brought a significant boost to the market. With the joint support of downstream stages, the nodal manufacturers’export supply increased significantly at the beginning of the week, which drove the market to a high point. However, with the rapid rise in prices, it is difficult to sustain downstream support, market prices fell slightly in the latter part of the week.

From the specific price chart, the price of butadiene has been rising all the way since this year, while the price of cis-butadiene rubber has been declining continuously. In late July, the price of butadiene has risen like a rainbow, making the cost of cis-butadiene rubber go up all the way. According to the current price of butadiene, the theoretical cost of cis-butadiene rubber is around 12800 yuan/ton. Obviously, the profit is greatly upside down. Cis-butadiene rubber has great pressure on cost surface.

Supply side: cis-butadiene rubber plant maintenance has increased since the second quarter, cis-butadiene supply has further reduced

From the table above, since the second quarter, some domestic cis-butadiene rubber manufacturers have been overhauling one after another, involving a capacity of 370,000 tons, further reducing the supply side of cis-butadiene and supporting the price of cis-butadiene rubber.

Demand side: downstream demand is still slightly weak

In the first half of 2019, domestic tire production declined slightly compared with the same period last year, and the demand for cis-butadiene rubber support was slightly weaker. According to statistics, in June 2019, the domestic output of rubber tyres was 70.279 million, down 2.45% annually, up 3.2% year on year; in January-June, the domestic output of rubber tyres was 403.745 million, down 1.0% year on year.

Future Prospects

Business analysts believe that at present, on the one hand, the price of upstream raw material butadiene has risen sharply, on the other hand, the supply of cis-butadiene rubber is relatively tight, which supports the price of cis-butadiene rubber. Later, the market of cis-butadiene rubber may continue to rise tentatively.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, since the beginning of August, the domestic phosphate ore market has been running steadily after a small fluctuation in late July. By August 8, the average price of 30% grade phosphate ore in China was around 420 yuan/ton.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Phosphate ore in July is affected by the overall industrial chain, demand has decreased, price has loosened. Since August, with the resumption of construction of the whole plant, supply and demand have basically returned to normal, and the market has entered a stable operation. As of August 8, 22% of the main grade phosphate ore in Guizhou Province has been quoted at 160 yuan/ton with tax, and 28% has been quoted near 160 yuan/ton. The tax quotation of the main grade phosphate ore factory is around 330 yuan/ton, the tax quotation of the main 30% grade phosphate ore factory/car board is 350-430 yuan/ton, and the tax quotation of the main 30% grade phosphate ore factory in Hebei province is around 530 yuan/ton. The phosphate ore is affected by the output of the producing area, and the price difference between different regions is large.

Industry chain: Since the beginning of August, the price of yellow phosphorus, a downstream product of phosphorus ore, has continued to fall, and the price has been loosened again. As of August 8, the average price of yellow phosphorus quoted in the mainstream area is around 21500 yuan/ton, which is down about 500 yuan/ton, or 2.27% compared with August 1. Phosphoric acid products have been affected by raw material production since early July, and the market of phosphoric acid has remained stable all the way up to and after August 8.

Industry: According to the price monitoring of business associations, on August 7, 2019, there were 16 kinds of commodities rising in the 58 price rise-fall list, mainly in the agricultural and sideline sectors (4 kinds in total) and the non-ferrous sectors (4 kinds in total). The top three commodities were silver (1.99%), live pigs (1.76%) and eggs (1.65%). There were 22 kinds of commodities falling in ring ratio, mainly in nonferrous (4 kinds) and steel (4 kinds). The first three commodities falling were polyester POY (-2.67%), iron ore (Australia) (-2.63%) and WTI crude oil (-1.94%). The average daily rise and fall was 0%.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business association data analysts believe that the domestic phosphate ore market is expected to remain stable in the short term.

From the fluorite price trend chart clearly shows that the fluorite price trend is slightly lower. According to statistics, the average domestic fluorite price is 3106.25 yuan/ton as of August 7. Since the end of July, the domestic fluorite price trend has declined. According to statistics, the recent domestic price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia is 2800-3100 yuan/ton, and that of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian is 2900 yuan/ton. – The price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan is 2900-3200 yuan/ton, and that of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi is 2900-3300 yuan/ton.

Recent domestic fluorite prices have been slightly lower. Firstly, the national environmental protection is strictly checked. The fluorite start-up rate is general. In 2019, the domestic mines and flotation plants were partially shut down, which made the spot supply of fluorite in the field normal. Some of the holders still have a strong price intention. Domestic fluorite prices have been slightly lower. Secondly, the refrigerant industry has been depressed recently. For the upstream demand is poor, the price of fluorite can not support the decline. The price of hydrofluoric acid and refrigerant in the downstream has been lower recently, which has a negative impact on the domestic fluorite market, and the domestic price of fluorite has been lower. In the near future, the hydrofluoric acid Market and refrigerant industry have no obvious positive support, and fluorite prices are expected to continue to decline slightly in the later period.

Both the ups and downs have declined, and the market price of hydrofluoric acid has continued to fall.

The average price of domestic hydrofluoric acid market is 11540 yuan/ton as of the 7th day. Recently, the price of domestic hydrofluoric acid market has been slightly lower. The mainstream of domestic negotiations on hydrofluoric acid in Fujian is 10 500-11 500 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Shandong is 11 000-12 000 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Jiangxi is 11 000-12 000 yuan/ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in Inner Mongolia is 11 000-12 000 yuan/ton. Negotiations in the 10 500-11 000 yuan/ton or so, hydrofluoric acid market supply is sufficient, market prices slightly lower.

In recent years, the domestic hydrofluoric acid start-up rate is more than 60%. Enterprises reflect that there is sufficient supply of hydrofluoric acid spot supply in the field. In recent years, the situation of on-site purchases is general. In recent years, due to poor downstream demand, some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers’prices have slightly declined. Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is poor, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid products price shocks. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions have improved, R22 refrigerant plant surface started at 50%, R22 market device start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 1700-18500 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has declined. The domestic market price trend of R134a is not good, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen purchase on demand. Recently, due to the normal supply of goods and poor downstream demand, the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid has slightly declined. Recently, due to the common negative effect of fluorite and refrigerant industry, the market price of hydrofluoric acid is expected to continue to decline in the later period.